Mid Cap Report- Best And Worst

The highest scoring names in mid cap from 1 year ago (4/10/2013) returned 548 bps more than the S&P 500.  The best performers have been ILMN up 148%, UA up 92%, GMCR up 78%, SIVB up 74%, VRX up 67%, STZ up 67%, and NUVA up 67%.

  • The best mid cap sector is utilities.
  • The top scoring mid cap industry is gas utilities.

The average mid cap score is 53.83, below the four week moving average score of 57. The average mid cap is trading -14.64% below its 52 week high, 1.54% above its 200 dma, has 6.2 days to cover held short, and is expected to grow earnings by 19% next year.
 
Utilities and basic materials score above average. Industrial goods, consumer goods, healthcare, technology, and financials score in line.  Services score poorly and face stiff headwinds in summer (see chart later in this report).
 

MID CAP       4/10/2014 4 Week  MA
Company Name Symbol Sector INDUSTRY SCORE SCORE
BEST          
Alliance Resource Partners LP ARLP BASIC MATERIALS INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINERALS 100 81.25
Frontier Comm. FTR TECHNOLOGY TELECOM SERVICES - DOMESTIC 100 83.75
NuVasive Inc NUVA HEALTHCARE MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & SUPPLIES 100 87.5
Piedmont Natural Gas PNY UTILITIES GAS UTILITIES 100 85
Questcor Pharma QCOR HEALTHCARE BIOTECHNOLOGY 100 68.75
SVB Financial SIVB FINANCIALS REGIONAL BANKS 100 90
Outerwall OUTR SERVICES SPECIALTY RETAIL, OTHER 95 77.5
Taubman Centers TCO FINANCIALS REITS 95 60
Teleflex TFX HEALTHCARE MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & SUPPLIES 95 93.75
Aaron's, Inc. AAN SERVICES SPECIALTY RETAIL, OTHER 90 80
AERCap Holdings AER SERVICES RENTAL & LEASING SERVICES 90 76.25
Carter's Inc CRI CONSUMER GOODS TEXTILES 90 78.75
Carrizo Oil and Gas Inc CRZO BASIC MATERIALS INDEPENDENT GAS & OIL 90 87.5
Energen Corp EGN UTILITIES GAS UTILITIES 90 77.5
Globus Medical GMED HEALTHCARE MEDICAL APPLIANCES & EQUIPMENT 90 90
I T T Corp ITT INDUSTRIAL GOODS DIVERSIFIED MACHINERY 90 83.75
Old Dominion Freight Line Inc ODFL SERVICES TRUCKING 90 78.75
Ryder Systems R SERVICES RENTAL & LEASING SERVICES 90 73.75
Macrovision Corp ROVI TECHNOLOGY BUSINESS SOFTWARE & SERVICES 90 71.25
Windstream Corp WIN TECHNOLOGY TELECOM SERVICES - DOMESTIC 90 67.5
Avista AVA UTILITIES DIVERSIFIED UTILITIES 85 76.25
Cavium Networks CAVM TECHNOLOGY SEMICONDUCTOR- BROAD LINE 85 91.25
Compass Minerals International Inc CMP BASIC MATERIALS SYNTHETICS 85 77.5
Douglas Emmett DEI FINANCIALS REITS 85 75
Flextronics FLEX TECHNOLOGY PRINTED CIRCUIT BOARDS 85 82.5
Genesco Inc. GCO SERVICES APPAREL STORES 85 86.25
Heartland Express HTLD SERVICES TRUCKING 85 91.25
Newmarket Corp NEU BASIC MATERIALS SPECIALTY CHEMICALS 85 68.75
Newfield Expl Co NFX BASIC MATERIALS INDEPENDENT OIL & GAS 85 65
New Jersey Resources NJR UTILITIES GAS UTILITIES 85 73.75
Precision Drilling Corp PDS BASIC MATERIALS OIL & GAS EQUIPMENT & SERVICES 85 82.5
SCP Pool Corp POOL CONSUMER GOODS SPORTING GOODS 85 82.5
Team Health Holdings TMH SERVICES STAFFING & OUTSOURCING SERVICES 85 65
Ultra Petroleum Corp. UPL BASIC MATERIALS INDEPENDENT OIL & GAS 85 86.25
           
WORST          
Brady Corp BRC SERVICES BUSINESS SERVICES 15 27.5
Chicos Fas CHS SERVICES APPAREL STORES 15 33.75
GoGo Inc. GOGO TECHNOLOGY DIVERSIFIED COMMUNICATION SERVICES 15 33.75
Harsco Corp HSC BASIC MATERIALS STEEL & IRON 15 35
Harsco Corp HSC BASIC MATERIALS STEEL & IRON 15 35
Louisiana-Pacific Corp LPX INDUSTRIAL GOODS LUMBER, WOOD PRODUCTION 15 31.25
Office Depot ODP SERVICES SPECIALTY RETAIL, OTHER 15 25
Tenet Healthcare THC HEALTHCARE HOSPITALS 15 36.25

The following chart shows average mid cap scores by sector since 2010.



The best mid cap industry is gas utilities (PNY, EGN). Trucking (ODFL, HTLD, KNX) is strong and offers upside on capacity driven pricing power. According to Cass, March U.S. freight shipment volume grew 6.6% month-over-month, following its 7.3% MoM improvement in February.  Shipments were up 0.4% YoY and 4.6% higher than two years ago. Higher volume is also reflected in improving truck orders, with both Daimler and Volvo reporting production line increases. Orders between December and March for Class 8 trucks marked the best four month period since 2006.  Oil & gas equipment & services (PDS, RES, EXH) are top scoring. Industrial metals & minerals (ARLP) round out the mid cap best industry ranking this week. Coal stockpiles at utilities are significantly below the five year average for this time of year.


 In mid cap basics, buy oil & gas equipment & services, industrial metals & minerals, and synthetics (CMP, POL). In consumer goods, focus on textiles (CRI, COLM) and processed & packaged goods (FLO). The top financials groups include accident & health insurance (AIZ), REITs (TCO, DEI, KRC, BMR), and regional banks (SIVB, OZRK, FHN). In healthcare, concentrate on medical instruments (NUVA, TFX). The best industrial goods groups are aerospace/defense (CAE, ATK, ESL, CW, HXL) and diversified machinery (ITT, MIDD). The top industries in services include trucking, education (APOL, DV), and rental & leasing (R, AER).  Consumer discretionary is historically weak once we move out of April -- reduce weights into month end.The following chart shows relative returns for the XLY by month over the past ten years.

In technology, buy broad line semi (CAVM), computer peripherals (EFII, NICE), and semi equipment (TER).

 

MID CAP INDUSTRY SCORE BY SECTOR   4/10/2014
Sector INDUSTRY SCORE
     
BASIC MATERIALS OIL & GAS EQUIPMENT & SERVICES 75.00
BASIC MATERIALS INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINERALS 73.33
BASIC MATERIALS SYNTHETICS 72.50
BASIC MATERIALS SPECIALTY CHEMICALS 65.00
BASIC MATERIALS INDEPENDENT OIL & GAS 63.75
BASIC MATERIALS OIL & GAS DRILLING & EXPLORATION 43.33
BASIC MATERIALS STEEL & IRON 35.00
CONSUMER GOODS TEXTILES 68.00
CONSUMER GOODS PROCESSED & PACKAGED GOODS 61.67
CONSUMER GOODS BUSINESS EQUIPMENT 52.50
CONSUMER GOODS AUTO PARTS 52.00
CONSUMER GOODS PACKAGING & CONTAINERS 46.67
FINANCIALS ACCIDENT & HEALTH INSURANCE 60.00
FINANCIALS REITS 57.35
FINANCIALS REGIONAL BANKS 56.36
FINANCIALS SURETY & TITLE INSURANCE 55.00
FINANCIALS ASSET MANAGEMENT 43.00
FINANCIALS INVESTMENT BROKERAGE 37.50
HEALTHCARE MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & SUPPLIES 60.00
HEALTHCARE BIOTECHNOLOGY 53.33
HEALTHCARE HOSPITALS 45.00
INDUSTRIAL GOODS AEROSPACE/DEFENSE  PRODUCTS & SERVICES 58.13
INDUSTRIAL GOODS DIVERSIFIED MACHINERY 56.25
INDUSTRIAL GOODS RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION 50.00
INDUSTRIAL GOODS INDUSTRIAL ELECTRICAL EQUIPMENT 45.00
SERVICES TRUCKING 83.33
SERVICES EDUCATION & TRAINING SERV 61.67
SERVICES RENTAL & LEASING SERVICES 55.00
SERVICES SPECIALTY RETAIL, OTHER 53.00
SERVICES AUTO DEALERSHIPS 51.67
SERVICES DEPARTMENT STORES 51.67
SERVICES APPAREL STORES 51.00
SERVICES RESTAURANTS 46.43
SERVICES TECHNICAL SERVICES 43.33
SERVICES BUSINESS SERVICES 41.82
SERVICES MOVIE PRODUCTION, THEATERS 38.33
TECHNOLOGY SEMICONDUCTOR-BROAD LINE 70.00
TECHNOLOGY COMPUTER PERIPHERALS 67.00
TECHNOLOGY SEMICONDUCTOR EQUIPMENT & MATERIALS 66.67
TECHNOLOGY PRINTED CIRCUIT BOARDS 58.33
TECHNOLOGY BUSINESS SOFTWARE & SERVICES 55.00
TECHNOLOGY SCIENTIFIC & TECHNICAL INSTRUMENTS 54.17
TECHNOLOGY INFORMATION & DELIVERY SERVICES 48.33
TECHNOLOGY TECHiNICAL & SYSTEM SOFTWARE 42.00
TECHNOLOGY SEMICONDUCTOR- INTEGRATED CIRCUITS 41.67
TECHNOLOGY COMMUNICATION EQUIPMENT 38.75
UTILITIES GAS UTILITIES 91.67

 

 

None.

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