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Pater Tenebrarum is an independent analyst and economist/social theorist. He has been involved with financial markets in various capacities for 31 years and currently writes economic and market analyses for independent research organizations and a European hedge fund consultancy as well as being ...more

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Consumer Prices – Fantasy And Reality
The average domestic airline ticket during the 12-month period ending in September rose 3.5 percent to $372.21.
News From Bubble-Land
Sentiment on stocks continues to be a mirror image of the gold market. Investor complacency is quite pronounced, to put it mildly.
Wrinkles Of The Swiss Gold Referendum
To quickly summarize: gold is quite different from industrial commodities and therefore cannot be analyzed like an industrial commodity. This is in spite of the fact that renowned gold institutes like the World Gold Council (WGC) and numerous other “experts” are doing just that.
Vacuous Blabber Association Meets In Brisbane
The G-20 met in Brisbane again this weekend for a shrimp-fest at reportedly considerable cost to tax payers (it cost more than $400 million and shut down an entire city for the best part of a week).
Gold Peeks Above Resistance
Gold has taken a positive initial step, but a little bit more evidence is required from a technical perspective to confirm that a durable trend reversal is in place.
EU – Planning To Spend Money It Doesn’t Have
New European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker is preparing a 300 billion euro ($375 billion) investment plan he will present as a cornerstone of efforts to revive an ailing economy.
Gold Sentiment – A Contrarian’s Dream?
Oil, other commodities will be in the dumps for another decade (gold is one of those “other commodities” the article focuses on).
Open Season On JC Juncker
Mr. Juncker actually did something right: during his time as the prime minister of Luxembourg, he allowed, to paraphrase Mises, “capitalism to breathe”, by making it possible for companies to save on their tax bills.
France’s “Winter Of Discontent”
France’s new economy minister, 36-year-old Emmanuel Macron, who has been tasked with tackling long-delayed reforms to reverse the country’s decline, is having a hard time. Every statement of his, it seems, provokes a storm of abuse from the politicians to the public.
Yellen’s Message To Draghi: Print, Baby, Print
Bloomberg informs us that there is a “Yellen Message to Europeans Divided on QE: Do Whatever It Takes”. The belief that central bank bureaucrats can “rescue” the economy by printing more money evidently remains as firmly ingrained as ever.
Keynesian Dogma – Garbage In, Garbage Out
U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen on Friday called on politicians across the globe to get their fiscal houses in order during good times to prop up economies during times of turmoil.
It’s All Good
The recent two week rise in the poll’s bullish percentage was the biggest in at least 20 years.
Macau – A Canary In China’s Coal Mine?
Macau has benefited disproportionately from two major trends: the rise of a class of very rich people in China (as well as a growing middle class), and the need of corrupt bureaucrats to launder their money, i.e. get it out of China.
US Midterm Election Goes As Expected
The Obama Effect strikes, Republican party wins big.
SPX, European Stocks And Junk Bonds Continue To Diverge
The S&P 500 has recently made a new high, in short the rebound from the mid October low has not failed at a lower high. Therefore, the clock has so to speak been reset.
Understanding Volatility
A new report explains how volatility data can be used to measure the degree of “herding” in the market and how this information can be employed in making forecasts about major turning points in the stock market.
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