Chris Ciovacco | TalkMarkets | Page 1
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Chris Ciovacco is the founder and CEO of Ciovacco Capital Management (CCM), an independent money management firm serving individual investors nationwide. The thoroughly researched and backtested CCM Market Model answers these important questions: (1) How much should we allocate to risk assets? ...more

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Stocks: Fourth Time A Charm?
Is the fourth time a breakout Charm for stocks?
Hard To Say This Is Bearish
It is difficult to imagine a new bear market starting when the economy is growing and the technicals are favorable. Tuesday’s GDP report showed the U.S. economy is coming off the strongest six months of growth in a decade.
Stocks: What Do The Charts Say Now?
Things have happened fast over the past four weeks. Video takes a step back and looks at the new evidence that has surfaced in the stock market since the October 15 low. (Video Length: 00:16:35)
Breadth Divergence: Are The Bulls Missing This?
Is it possible for a bull market to continue after this divergence appears?
Market Breadth Is Trying To Tell Us Something About Risk
Since every stock trade has a buyer and a seller, stocks do not rise when there are more buyers than sellers (something that is not possible).
Odds Of Stock Rally Pushing Higher
The market may go sideways or it may go down, but history tells us upside is also a realistic outcome in the months ahead.
How Long Could This Stock Rally Last?
Anecdotal evidence from previous corrections.
Is This Lagging Sector Ready To Lead?
The trend is trying to turn in the favor of homebuilders.
Defensive Leadership: A Showstopper For Bull Market?
For most of 2013, discretionary sectors were leading defensive sectors (ratio was rising in 2013).
Defensive Leadership: A Show-Stopper For Bulls?
Rather than a red flag, it's a logical move of the market anticipating that the Feds will raise rates.
Two Reasons The Fed Will Be Slow To Raise Rates
Central bankers are students of monetary policy history. In 1937, in the midst of a post Great Depression recovery, the Fed helped push the fragile economy back into recession by raising interest rates too soon.
Markets Have Not Seen This In Eight Years
If the stock market decides to swing wildly to the downside in the coming days, the Fibonacci retracement levels below may bring buying conviction back into the mix.
Another Extremely Rare Market Event
This market is well-known for doing the unprecedented. According to SentimentTrader, SPX traded more than 0.5% above its 5-dma for 10 days in a row in the past two weeks.
Stage Set For Year-End Rally In Stocks?
When momentum falls out of oversold territory, the probability of good things happening is higher.
Could The Bulls Run Into Year-End?
As noted in detail on May 14, it is always important to understand both the bullish and bearish case for stocks. While the headline number for Thursday’s GDP report was impressive, the report contained something that may keep the Fed in a market-friendly mode.
Important Point For Rally Attempt
A few charts can illustrate the “improving, but still tenuous” state of the current rally attempt in the stock market.
1 to 16 of 63 Posts