(Bloomberg Press, 2010). His articles on finance and economics have appeared in a variety of publications and news outlets, including The Atlantic, Financial Advisor, BankRate.com, and HorsesMouth.com. Picerno owns and edits The Capital Spectator (
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Articles
Will Fed Chair Yellen’s Speech Change Rate-Hike Expectations?
Sunday, August 28, 2016 12:04 PM EDT
The 5.9% slump in real M0 in July vs. the year-earlier level marks the fifth straight month of negative annual comparisons. That’s the longest stretch of back-to-back monthly decreases in four years.
US GDP Growth Is Projected To Accelerate In Q3
Wednesday, August 24, 2016 9:43 AM EDT
Economic output in the US is on track to rebound sharply in the third quarter, according to several estimates. Some analysts are looking for growth in excess of 3% when the Bureau of Economic Analysis publishes the “advance” Q3 report on Oct. 28.
Personal Consumption Expenditures: October 2014 Preview
Tuesday, November 25, 2014 10:30 AM EDT
US personal consumption spending for October is projected to rise 0.3%.
Q4:2014 US GDP Nowcast: +2.1%
Tuesday, November 25, 2014 7:07 AM EDT
US economic growth is on track to decelerate in this year’s fourth quarter, based on The Capital Spectator’s median point forecast for several econometric estimates.
Chicago Fed: US Economic Growth Slowed In October
Monday, November 24, 2014 10:54 AM EDT
The pace of US growth slowed more than expected in October, according to this morning’s update of the Chicago Fed National Activity Index.
Thinking Clearly About Forecasting
Monday, November 24, 2014 9:29 AM EDT
There’s a fine line between prudent and reckless behavior with generating and consuming predictions.
Chicago Fed Nat’l Activity Index: Oct 2014 Preview
Friday, November 21, 2014 12:49 PM EDT
The three-month average of the Chicago Fed National Activity Index is expected to decelerate to a +0.11 reading in the October update that’s scheduled for release on Monday (Nov. 24), based on The Capital Spectator’s median econometric point forecast for several econometric estimates.
The Poster Boy For Liberal Economics Discovers The Tax Factor
Friday, November 21, 2014 7:24 AM EDT
It’s not every day that we learn that an influential economist who leads the charge for left-of-center policy in his day job has embraced the virtues of lesser taxes.
The Global Economy’s Slowdown Weighs On US Manufacturing
Thursday, November 20, 2014 4:03 PM EDT
The first hint that the global economy’s recent weakness is creeping into the US arrived in today’s preliminary November update of the Markit US Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI).
Jobless Claims Fell Last Week, Underlining Bullish Trend
Thursday, November 20, 2014 11:09 AM EDT
New filings for unemployment benefits fell 2,000 to a seasonally adjusted 291,000 for the week through November 15, the Labor Department reports.
US Economic Profile, 20 November 2014
Thursday, November 20, 2014 8:01 AM EDT
The outlook for the global economy is suffering these days, but there’s still no clear sign that the deceleration in macro activity has infected the US.
Housing Starts Fall In October As Building Permits Rise
Wednesday, November 19, 2014 11:29 AM EDT
The pace of new residential housing construction slumped last month, dipping to 1.009 million units (annualized) in October — down nearly 3% from September’s total, the US Census Bureau reports.
A Conundrum For Treasury Yields
Wednesday, November 19, 2014 8:34 AM EDT
The yield spread for a nominal 10-year Treasury less its inflation-indexed counterpart dipped to a three-year low yesterday.
Why Living In A Post-Bubble World Is No Fun
Wednesday, November 19, 2014 3:42 AM EDT
What do we do when the bubble economy cannot be reflated?
