Large Cap Report Best And Worst

Our top scoring large cap stocks from 1 year ago produced an average 166 bps of excess return to the S&P 500 over the past year. The best performers from a year ago (5/21/2013) are MGA up 55%, MCK up 54%, EOG up 53%, NOC up 51%, and BHI up 47%.

  • The top scoring sector is utilities.
  • The best scoring industry is railroads.

 The average large cap stock score is 56.57, below the four week moving average score of 57.67. The average large cap is trading -10.53% below its 52 week high, 2.23% above its 200 dma, has 3.87 days to cover held short, and is expected to grow EPS by 13.48% next year.
 
The best scoring sector across our large cap universe is utilities. Healthcare and basic materials also score above average. Consumer goods and industrial goods score in line. Technology, services, and financials score below average.

LG CAP       5/22/2014 4 Week MA
Company Name Symbol Sector INDUSTRY SCORE SCORE
BEST          
AbbVie Inc. ABBV HEALTHCARE DRUG MANUFACTURERS 110 91.25
CSX Corp CSX SERVICES RAILROADS 105 83.75
Johnson & Johnson JNJ HEALTHCARE DRUG MANUFACTURERS 105 103.75
Amphenol Corp APH TECHNOLOGY DIVERSIFIED ELECTRONICS 100 102.5
Avalonbay Comm. AVB FINANCIALS REITS 100 100
EnCana Corp ECA BASIC MATERIALS INDEPENDENT OIL & GAS 100 95
Eqt Corp EQT UTILITIES GAS UTILITIES 100 102.5
Green Mtn. Coffee Roasters GMCR CONSUMER GOODS PROCESSED & PACKAGED GOODS 100 96.25
Illumina ILMN HEALTHCARE BIOTECHNOLOGY 100 92.5
Lam Research Corp LRCX TECHNOLOGY SEMICONDUCTOR EQUIPMENT & MATERIALS 100 100
Merck MRK HEALTHCARE DRUG MANUFACTURERS 100 91.25
Shaw Communications Inc SJR SERVICES CATV SYSTEMS 100 81.25
Transdigm Group Inc. TDG INDUSTRIAL GOODS AEROSPACE/DEFENSE  PRODUCTS & SERVICES 100 95
Autonation AN SERVICES AUTO DEALERSHIPS 95 90
B P plc BP BASIC MATERIALS MAJOR INTEGRATED OIL AND GAS 95 87.5
Chesapeake Energy CHK BASIC MATERIALS INDEPENDENT OIL & GAS 95 97.5
The Directv Group Inc DTV TECHNOLOGY COMMUNICATION EQUIPMENT 95 96.25
Edison Intl EIX UTILITIES ELECTRIC UTILITIES 95 96.25
Eastman Chemical Co EMN BASIC MATERIALS CHEMICALS- MAJOR DIVERSIFIED 95 86.25
Endo Health Solutions ENDP HEALTHCARE DRUG MANUFACTURERS 95 80
Energizer Hldgs Inc ENR INDUSTRIAL GOODS INDUSTRIAL ELECTRICAL EQUIPMENT 95 91.25
Edwards Lifesciences EW HEALTHCARE MEDICAL APPLIANCES & EQUIPMENT 95 96.25
General Dynamics GD INDUSTRIAL GOODS AEROSPACE/DEFENSE  PRODUCTS & SERVICES 95 97.5
Idexx Lab IDXX HEALTHCARE DIAGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES 95 98.75
Kellogg Company K CONSUMER GOODS PROCESSED & PACKAGED GOODS 95 98.75
Lorillard Inc LO CONSUMER GOODS CIGARETTES 95 97.5
O'Reilly Auto ORLY SERVICES AUTO PARTS STORES 95 97.5
P P L Corp PPL UTILITIES ELECTRIC UTILITIES 95 91.25
Constellation Brands STZ CONSUMER GOODS BEVERAGES 95 92.5
Tyson Foods TSN CONSUMER GOODS MEAT PRODUCTS 95 92.5
Time Warner TWX SERVICES ENTERTAINMENT- DIVERSIFIED 95 75
Universal Health UHS HEALTHCARE HOSPITALS 95 76.25
American Int'l Group AIG FINANCIALS PROPERTY & CASUALITY INSURANCE 90 81.25
Alexion Pharma ALXN HEALTHCARE DRUG MANUFACTURERS 90 92.5
Autozone AZO SERVICES AUTO PARTS STORES 90 92.5
Brown Forman Corp BF.B CONSUMER GOODS BEVERAGES 90 90
C H Robinson Worldwide CHRW SERVICES AIR DELIVERY & FREIGHT SERVICES 90 70
Continental Resources CLR BASIC MATERIALS OIL & GAS DRILLING & EXPLORATION 90 87.5
Cummins Inc CMI INDUSTRIAL GOODS DIVERSIFIED MACHINERY 90 92.5
Camden Ppty CPT FINANCIALS REITS 90 93.75
C V S Corp CVS SERVICES DRUG STORES 90 92.5
Walt Disney Company DIS SERVICES ENTERTAINMENT- DIVERSIFIED 90 86.25
Dover Corp DOV INDUSTRIAL GOODS DIVERSIFIED MACHINERY 90 92.5
E O G Resources EOG BASIC MATERIALS INDEPENDENT OIL & GAS 90 92.5
Essex Ppty Trust ESS FINANCIALS REITS 90 95
Entergy Corp New ETR UTILITIES ELECTRIC UTILITIES 90 93.75
Gilead GILD HEALTHCARE BIOTECHNOLOGY 90 85
Halliburton HAL BASIC MATERIALS OIL & GAS EQUIPMENT & SERVICES 90 92.5
Eli Lilly LLY HEALTHCARE DRUG MANUFACTURERS 90 92.5
Public Service Ent. PEG UTILITIES DIVERSIFIED UTILITIES 90 87.5
Public Storage PSA FINANCIALS REITS 90 87.5
Phillips van Heusen PVH CONSUMER GOODS TEXTILES 90 72.5
Reynolds American RAI CONSUMER GOODS CIGARETTES 90 93.75
S L Green SLG FINANCIALS REITS 90 93.75
Salix Pharm SLXP HEALTHCARE DRUGS-GENERIC 90 88.75
Snap On Inc SNA INDUSTRIAL GOODS SMALL TOOLS & ACCESSORIES 90 92.5
A T & T T TECHNOLOGY TELECOM SERVICES - DOMESTIC 90 75
Weatherfold International Inc WFT BASIC MATERIALS OIL & GAS EQUIPMENT & SERVICES 90 93.75
           
WORST          
Alcatel ALU TECHNOLOGY COMMUNICATION EQUIPMENT 15 22.5
A S M L Holding ASML TECHNOLOGY   15 20
Bed Bath & Beyond BBBY SERVICES HOME FURNISHING & FIXTURES 15 16.25
Incyte Corp INCY HEALTHCARE BIOTECHNOLOGY 15 22.5
Leucadia Nat'l LUK CONGLOMERATES CONGLOMERATES 15 16.25
Mattel Inc MAT CONSUMER GOODS TOYS & GAMES 15 21.25
Sei Investments Co SEIC FINANCIALS INVESTMENT BROKERAGE 15 23.75
Sony Corp SNE CONSUMER GOODS ELECTRONIC EQUIPMENT 15 22.5
American Movil AMX TECHNOLOGY WIRELESS COMMUNICATIONS 20 30
Fireeye Inc FEYE TECHNOLOGY APPLICATION SOFTWARE 20 17.5
Gerdau SA GGB BASIC MATERIALS STEEL & IRON 20 20
Nomura Holdings NMR FINANCIALS INVESTMENT BROKERAGE 20 17.5
New York Community NYCB FINANCIALS SAVINGS & LOANS 20 23.75
Dr.Reddy's Labs RDY HEALTHCARE DRUG MANUFACTURERS 20 50
Red Hat Inc RHT TECHNOLOGY APPLICATION SOFTWARE 20 21.25



 

The top large cap industry is railroads (CSX, UNP, NSC, KSU). Total rail carload traffic is 3.9% higher year-to-date than 2013. A return of grain exports has boosted grain carloads by 19% so far this year. Coal inventory drawdown and higher natural gas prices have stabilized coal railcar volume, with total year-to-date coal volume up 1.4% from last year. Oil & gas pipelines (SE, WMB) score strongly thanks to shale production driven capacity expansion. Domestic telecom (T, CTL) offers opportunity as data demand supports ARPU.  REITs (AVB, SLG, PSA, ESS, CPT) offer upside thanks to rebounding activity in office and commercial, low interest rates, and improving vacancy driven effective rents. A pick up in branded drug patent expiration this year and an acceleration in expiration next year support margin at drug stores (CVS, RAD, OCR).

The best basics industries are oil & gas pipelines, independent oil & gas (ECA, CHK, EOG, SWN, RRC, PXD), major chemicals (EMN, ASH), and major oil & gas (BP, COG). 

The top consumer goods baskets include beverages (STZ, BF.B, DPS, MNST), cigarettes (LO, RAI), and processed & packaged foods (GMCR, K). In financials, buy REITs, credit services (SLM, MCO), and P&C insurers (AIG, TRV, XL). Every healthcare industry scores above average, led by drugmakers (ABBV, JNJ, MRK, ENDP, LLY, ALXN), healthcare plans (WLP, HUM), and medical appliances (EW, RMD, ZMH). In industrial goods, concentrate on aerospace/defense (TDG, GD, SPR), diversified machinery (DOV, CMI), and industrial equipment (PNR). Railroads, drug stores, and diversified entertainment (TWX, DIS) are best in services.  The top technology groups are domestic telecom, diversified communication (APH, TYC), and semi ICs (TSM, MRVL). Every utilities industry scores above average thanks to rising retail rates/sales and electricity demand (PEG, WEC, NI, PPL, EIX, ETR).

LG CAP INDUSTRY SCORE BY SECTOR   5/22/2014
Sector Industry SCORE
     
BASIC MATERIALS OIL & GAS PIPELINES 77.50
BASIC MATERIALS INDEPENDENT OIL & GAS 69.71
BASIC MATERIALS CHEMICALS- MAJOR DIVERSIFIED 65.00
BASIC MATERIALS MAJOR INTEGRATED OIL AND GAS 65.00
BASIC MATERIALS OIL & GAS EQUIPMENT & SERVICES 64.55
BASIC MATERIALS INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINERALS 62.50
BASIC MATERIALS OIL & GAS DRILLING & EXPLORATION 60.56
BASIC MATERIALS OIL & GAS REFINING & MARKETING 50.83
BASIC MATERIALS AGRICULTURAL CHEMICALS 45.00
BASIC MATERIALS GOLD 39.17
BASIC MATERIALS STEEL & IRON 34.29
CONSUMER GOODS BEVERAGES 73.33
CONSUMER GOODS CIGARETTES 71.25
CONSUMER GOODS PROCESSED & PACKAGED GOODS 63.13
CONSUMER GOODS AUTO PARTS 61.67
CONSUMER GOODS TEXTILES 56.11
CONSUMER GOODS FOOD - MAJOR DIVERSIFIED 55.00
CONSUMER GOODS PERSONAL PRODUCTS 43.00
CONSUMER GOODS AUTO MANUFACTURERS- MAJOR 40.83
FINANCIALS REITS 76.19
FINANCIALS CREDIT SERVICES 57.50
FINANCIALS PROPERTY & CASUALITY INSURANCE 54.06
FINANCIALS MONEY CENTER BANKS 47.22
FINANCIALS LIFE INSURANCE 46.67
FINANCIALS FOREIGN MONEY CENTER BANKS 45.00
FINANCIALS INSURANCE BROKERS 45.00
FINANCIALS REGIONAL BANKS 43.50
FINANCIALS ASSET MANAGEMENT 40.63
FINANCIALS INVESTMENT BROKERAGE 35.00
FINANCIALS SAVINGS & LOANS 35.00
HEALTHCARE DRUG MANUFACTURERS 66.96
HEALTHCARE HEALTH CARE PLANS 66.00
HEALTHCARE MEDICAL APPLIANCES & EQUIPMENT 62.50
HEALTHCARE MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & SUPPLIES 52.78
HEALTHCARE BIOTECHNOLOGY 51.25
INDUSTRIAL GOODS AEROSPACE/DEFENSE  PRODUCTS & SERVICES 69.00
INDUSTRIAL GOODS DIVERSIFIED MACHINERY 66.43
INDUSTRIAL GOODS INDUSTRIAL EQUIPMENT & COMPONENTS 52.50
INDUSTRIAL GOODS FARM & CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY 43.00
SERVICES RAILROADS 82.00
SERVICES DRUG STORES 75.00
SERVICES ENTERTAINMENT- DIVERSIFIED 65.00
SERVICES AIR DELIVERY & FREIGHT SERVICES 62.50
SERVICES GROCERY STORES 60.00
SERVICES DRUGS WHOLESALE 58.33
SERVICES CATV SYSTEMS 57.14
SERVICES LODGING 56.25
SERVICES BUSINESS SERVICES 55.00
SERVICES RESTAURANTS 54.00
SERVICES APPAREL STORES 52.86
SERVICES DEPARTMENT STORES 50.00
SERVICES DISCOUNT, VARIETY STORES 49.17
SERVICES RESORTS AND CASINOS 38.33
TECHNOLOGY TELECOM SERVICES - DOMESTIC 76.67
TECHNOLOGY DIVERSIFIED COMMUNICATION SERVICES 66.67
TECHNOLOGY SEMICONDUCTOR- INTEGRATED CIRCUITS 66.25
TECHNOLOGY SEMICONDUCTOR EQUIPMENT & MATERIALS 62.00
TECHNOLOGY COMMUNICATION EQUIPMENT 60.83
TECHNOLOGY DIVERSIFIED COMPUTER SYSTEMS 56.67
TECHNOLOGY SCIENTIFIC & TECHNICAL INSTRUMENTS 56.25
TECHNOLOGY BUSINESS SOFTWARE & SERVICES 56.00
TECHNOLOGY SEMICONDUCTOR-SPECIALIZED 53.75
TECHNOLOGY WIRELESS COMMUNICATIONS 51.25
TECHNOLOGY TECHINICAL & SYSTEM SOFTWARE 50.83
TECHNOLOGY INTERNET INFORMATION PROVIDER 50.00
TECHNOLOGY INTERNET SOFTWARE & SERVICES 49.50
TECHNOLOGY DATA STORAGE DEVICES 48.75
TECHNOLOGY SEMICONDUCTOR- BROAD LINE 46.25
TECHNOLOGY APPLICATION SOFTWARE 44.00
UTILITIES FOREIGN UTILITIES 68.33
UTILITIES ELECTRIC UTILITIES 67.14
UTILITIES DIVERSIFIED UTILITIES 60.00

 

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