Ruble Slide Continues; Russia Forced To Abandon Currency Intervention As Reserves Dwindle

In the wake of falling oil prices, tensions in Ukraine, and sanction madness that hurts both Russia and the Eurozone, the ruble has been on a huge slide.

Ruble Daily Chart

Since June the Ruble has slid from about 34 to the US dollar to 44.9 to the US dollar. That is a decline of 24 percent. A long-term chart shows an even bigger decline.

Ruble Weekly Chart

Since the beginning of 2011 the Ruble has gone from 28 to the US dollar to 44.9 to the US dollar. That's a decline of  37.6 percent.

Russia's Attempts to Stabilize the Ruble Fail

The decline has been pretty orderly until about June of this year. To halt recent decline, Russia hiked interest rates on October 31 to 9.5% from 8.5%.

As the first chart shows, that huge rate hike did not halt the slide.

Russia had also been intervening in the currency markets to the tune of about $2.5bn a day, but that's not a sustainable action.

Indeed, declining reserves forced the Russian Central Bank to Abandon Ruble Support.

 The Central Bank of Russia announced an effective free float of the rouble on Wednesday, a step which triggered a fresh plunge in the currency but is intended to eventually stabilise it.

The rouble’s slide has accelerated in recent weeks, partly because the central bank’s policy of automatic intervention was an easy target for speculators making one-way bets.

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Disclosure: This content is provided as general information only and should not be taken as investment advice. It shall not be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security or financial ...

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