Large Cap Report
The highest scoring names in large cap from 1 year ago (12/11/2012) returned 937 bps more than the S&P 500. The top performers are DAL up 166%, GILD up 94%, MCK up 68%, and HRB up 62%.
- Industrial goods are the top scoring sector.
- The best large cap industry is asset managers.
The average large cap company score is 71.48, below the four week average score of 72.98. The average large cap is trading 5.74% above its 200 dma, has 3.98 days to cover short and is expected to grow EPS by 12.9% next year.
The top scoring large cap sector is industrial goods. Consumer goods, financials, and healthcare all score above average. Technology and services score in line. Basics and utilities score below average.
LG CAP | 12/10/2013 | 4 week MA | |||
Company Name | Symbol | Sector | Industry | SCORE | SCORE |
BEST | |||||
Ameriprise Finl Inc | AMP | FINANCIALS | ASSET MANAGEMENT | 110 | 110 |
Microchip Tech | MCHP | TECHNOLOGY | SEMICONDUCTOR-SPECIALIZED | 110 | 108.75 |
Sigma Aldrich | SIAL | HEALTHCARE | SPECIALTY CHEMICALS | 110 | 88.75 |
Amphenol Corp | APH | TECHNOLOGY | DIVERSIFIED ELECTRONICS | 105 | 105 |
Autozone | AZO | SERVICES | AUTO PARTS STORES | 105 | 107.5 |
Boeing | BA | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | AEROSPACE/DEFENSE PRODUCTS & SERVICES | 105 | 103.75 |
Becton Dickinson | BDX | HEALTHCARE | MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & SUPPLIES | 105 | 103.75 |
CSX Corp | CSX | SERVICES | RAILROADS | 105 | 105 |
Walt Disney Company | DIS | SERVICES | ENTERTAINMENT- DIVERSIFIED | 105 | 107.5 |
General Motors | GM | CONSUMER GOODS | AUTO MANUFACTURERS- MAJOR | 105 | 103.75 |
Nike | NKE | CONSUMER GOODS | TEXTILES | 105 | 105 |
Owens Illinois | OI | CONSUMER GOODS | PACKAGING & CONTAINERS | 105 | 105 |
Parker Hannifin | PH | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | INDUSTRIAL EQUIPMENT & COMPONENTS | 105 | 96.25 |
Adolph Coors Co | TAP | CONSUMER GOODS | BEVERAGES | 105 | 96.25 |
U.S. Steel | X | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | METAL FABRICATION | 105 | 95 |
Yahoo | YHOO | TECHNOLOGY | INTERNET INFORMATION PROVIDER | 105 | 105 |
Apple Computer | AAPL | TECHNOLOGY | PERSONAL COMPUTERS | 100 | 98.75 |
Alpha Natural Resources | ANR | BASIC MATERIALS | INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINERALS | 100 | 93.75 |
Aon Corp | AON | FINANCIALS | INSURANCE BROKERS | 100 | 100 |
C F Industries Hldngs | CF | BASIC MATERIALS | AGRICULTURAL CHEMICALS | 100 | 98.75 |
The Clorox Co | CLX | CONSUMER GOODS | CLEANING PRODUCTS | 100 | 100 |
Dollar General | DG | SERVICES | DISCOUNT, VARIETY STORES | 100 | 92.5 |
Danaher | DHR | CONGLOMERATES | CONGLOMERATES | 100 | 96.25 |
Ecolab | ECL | CONSUMER GOODS | CLEANING PRODUCTS | 100 | 93.75 |
FB | TECHNOLOGY | INTERNET INFORMATION PROVIDER | 100 | 97.5 | |
Hartford Finl Svcs Gro | HIG | FINANCIALS | PROPERTY & CASUALITY INSURANCE | 100 | 92.5 |
Hitachi Ltd. | HTHIY.PK | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | FARM & CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY | 100 | 91.25 |
Intercontinental Exchange | ICE | FINANCIALS | BUSINESS SERVICES | 100 | 98.75 |
Infosys Tech | INFY | TECHNOLOGY | TECHINICAL & SYSTEM SOFTWARE | 100 | 100 |
Nucor Corp | NUE | BASIC MATERIALS | STEEL & IRON | 100 | 97.5 |
Newell Rubbermaid | NWL | CONSUMER GOODS | HOUSEWARES & ACCESSORIES | 100 | 98.75 |
Royal Caribbean Cruises | RCL | SERVICES | GENERAL ENTERTAINMENT | 100 | 103.75 |
Wipro Ltd | WIT | TECHNOLOGY | BUSINESS SOFTWARE & SERVICES | 100 | 98.75 |
Agilent Tech | A | TECHNOLOGY | SCIENTIFIC & TECHNICAL INSTRUMENTS | 95 | 93.75 |
AbbVie Inc. | ABBV | HEALTHCARE | DRUG MANUFACTURERS | 95 | 85 |
A C E LTD | ACE | FINANCIALS | PROPERTY & CASUALITY INSURANCE | 95 | 97.5 |
Air Products & Chemicals | APD | BASIC MATERIALS | CHEMICALS- MAJOR DIVERSIFIED | 95 | 93.75 |
Blackrock Inc | BLK | FINANCIALS | ASSET MANAGEMENT | 95 | 97.5 |
B P plc | BP | BASIC MATERIALS | MAJOR INTEGRATED OIL AND GAS | 95 | 92.5 |
Chubb | CB | FINANCIALS | PROPERTY & CASUALITY INSURANCE | 95 | 97.5 |
Celgene | CELG | HEALTHCARE | BIOTECHNOLOGY | 95 | 92.5 |
CIGNA Corp. | CI | HEALTHCARE | HEALTH CARE PLANS | 95 | 93.75 |
Computer Sciences Corp | CSC | TECHNOLOGY | INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY SERVICES | 95 | 93.75 |
Cognizant | CTSH | TECHNOLOGY | BUSINESS SOFTWARE & SERVICES | 95 | 95 |
Dover Corp | DOV | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | DIVERSIFIED MACHINERY | 95 | 93.75 |
Emerson Electric | EMR | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | INDUSTRIAL EQUIPMENT & COMPONENTS | 95 | 92.5 |
Flowserve Corp | FLS | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | DIVERSIFIED MACHINERY | 95 | 93.75 |
Google Inc | GOOG | TECHNOLOGY | INTERNET INFORMATION PROVIDER | 95 | 86.25 |
Hyatt Hotels | H | SERVICES | LODGING | 95 | 96.25 |
Hewlett Packard | HPQ | TECHNOLOGY | DIVERSIFIED COMPUTER SYSTEMS | 95 | 97.5 |
Intuit Inc. | INTU | TECHNOLOGY | APPLICATION SOFTWARE | 95 | 98.75 |
Illinois Tool Works | ITW | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | DIVERSIFIED MACHINERY | 95 | 92.5 |
Kla-tencor Corp | KLAC | TECHNOLOGY | SEMICONDUCTOR EQUIPMENT & MATERIALS | 95 | 97.5 |
Lincoln Nat'l | LNC | FINANCIALS | LIFE INSURANCE | 95 | 98.75 |
Lorillard Inc | LO | CONSUMER GOODS | CIGARETTES | 95 | 97.5 |
Mastercard | MA | FINANCIALS | BUSINESS SERVICES | 95 | 95 |
Moody's Corp | MCO | FINANCIALS | CREDIT SERVICES | 95 | 98.75 |
Monsanto Co | MON | BASIC MATERIALS | AGRICULTURAL CHEMICALS | 95 | 98.75 |
Microsoft | MSFT | TECHNOLOGY | APPLICATION SOFTWARE | 95 | 95 |
Northrup Grumman | NOC | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | AEROSPACE/DEFENSE PRODUCTS & SERVICES | 95 | 98.75 |
Norfolk South Corporation | NSC | SERVICES | RAILROADS | 95 | 93.75 |
Paychex | PAYX | SERVICES | STAFFING & OUTSOURCING SERVICES | 95 | 98.75 |
Principal Financial Gr | PFG | FINANCIALS | ASSET MANAGEMENT | 95 | 98.75 |
Proctor & Gamble | PG | CONSUMER GOODS | PERSONAL PRODUCTS | 95 | 90 |
Seagate Technology | STX | TECHNOLOGY | DATA STORAGE DEVICES | 95 | 93.75 |
Unum Group | UNM | FINANCIALS | ACCIDENT & HEALTH INSURANCE | 95 | 93.75 |
US Bancorp | USB | FINANCIALS | REGIONAL BANKS | 95 | 95 |
Viacom | VIA | SERVICES | ENTERTAINMENT- DIVERSIFIED | 95 | 86.25 |
Viacom Inc | VIAB | SERVICES | CATV SYSTEMS | 95 | 86.25 |
Western Digital | WDC | TECHNOLOGY | DATA STORAGE DEVICES | 95 | 93.75 |
Waste Management | WM | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | WASTE MANAGEMENT | 95 | 97.5 |
Exxon Mobil | XOM | BASIC MATERIALS | MAJOR INTEGRATED OIL AND GAS | 95 | 87.5 |
WORST | |||||
Firstenergy Corp | FE | UTILITIES | ELECTRIC UTILITIES | 20 | 20 |
Sears Holding Corp | SHLD | SERVICES | DEPARTMENT STORES | 20 | 43.75 |
Potash Corp of Saskatchewan Inc | POT | BASIC MATERIALS | NONMETALLIC MINERAL MINING | 25 | 27.5 |
Agnico Eagle Mines | AEM | BASIC MATERIALS | GOLD | 30 | 33.75 |
Avon Products Inc | AVP | CONSUMER GOODS | PERSONAL PRODUCTS | 30 | 28.75 |
Dr Pepper Snapple Grou | DPS | CONSUMER GOODS | BEVERAGES | 30 | 28.75 |
Enersis SA | ENI | UTILITIES | FOREIGN UTILITIES | 30 | 36.25 |
Exelon | EXC | UTILITIES | DIVERSIFIED UTILITIES | 30 | 27.5 |
Kohl's Corp | KSS | SERVICES | DEPARTMENT STORES | 30 | 50 |
Mosaic Company | MOS | BASIC MATERIALS | AGRICULTURAL CHEMICALS | 30 | 37.5 |
Public Service Ent. | PEG | UTILITIES | DIVERSIFIED UTILITIES | 30 | 31.25 |
Silver Wheaton | SLW | BASIC MATERIALS | SILVER | 30 | 26.25 |
Symantec | SYMC | TECHNOLOGY | INTERNET SOFTWARE & SERVICES | 30 | 33.75 |
Vertex Pharmaceuticals | VRTX | HEALTHCARE | DRUG MANUFACTURERS | 30 | 28.75 |
Commentary:
The following table shows how large cap sectors are executing on earnings relative to analyst consensus estimates. Over the past year, healthcare has been best at outpacing the Street, beating an average 2.8 of the past four quarters. That was up slightly from 2.77 for the prior period's trailing four quarters. Only consumer and financials have seen their ability to outpace drop. Industrials have seen their average number of beats climb the most from the prior period.
The top large cap industry is asset managers (AMP, BLK, TROW, BEN, IVZ). Asset manager fee revenue is shifting to mix friendly equities from low fee fixed income. AUM growth tied to equity appreciation is also driving fee revenue higher. Technical & system (INFY, ADSK) and business software (WIT, CTSH, FISV, ADP) is strong scoring on rising optimism of software spending next year. Diversified machinery (ITW, FLS, DOV, CMI) offers growth as Europe turns from a headwind to a tailwind and U.S. manufacturing continues higher. Aerospace/defense (BA, NOC, RTN, HON, GD) benefits from rising enthusiasm for a Gov't budget resolution. OEMs boosting of production offers ongoing support to suppliers into 2014. Output of BA's 737s will climb to 42 from 38 per month in the first half of next year, with BA guiding for production to climb to 47 per month in 2017.
The best scoring large cap basics industries are industrial metals & minerals (ANR, ATI, CNX), major chemicals (APD, DOW) and steel & iron (NUE, TX, MT, GGB, CLF). Steel prices have continued to improve off summer lows, with the MetalMiner monthly Raw Steels MMI price index improving 3.7% in December from November. In consumer goods, buy major food (MDLZ, ADM), auto parts (LEA, JCI) and personal products (PG, EL, CL). According to Ward's, the daily sales rate of U.S. light vehicles improved 4.5% in November. Textiles (NKE, VFC) are also strong and benefit as cotton prices have retreated. In financials, own asset managers, credit services (MCO, COF, AXP) and insurance brokers (AON, MMC). Credit card and consumer loan standards continue to ease, supporting loan growth. According to MarketScout, the average P&C insurance premium improved 4% YoY in November. In healthcare, focus on health care plans (CI, UNH, WLP), medical instruments (BDX, SYK, BCR) and biotechnology (CELG, GILD, BIIB). In industrial goods, every industry scores above average, led by diversified machinery and aerospace/defense. Lodging (H, HOT), rails (CSX, NSC, CP), and business services (CME, V, FIS) score highest in services. RevPAR gained 4.1% in the most recently reported month of October, according to STR. In technology, buy technical & system software, business software, and Internet information providers (YHOO, FB, GOOG, LNKD, EXPE).
LG CAP INDUSTRY SCORE BY SECTOR | 12/10/2013 | |
Sector | Industry | SCORE |
BASIC MATERIALS | INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINERALS | 81.00 |
BASIC MATERIALS | CHEMICALS- MAJOR DIVERSIFIED | 78.33 |
BASIC MATERIALS | STEEL & IRON | 78.33 |
BASIC MATERIALS | AGRICULTURAL CHEMICALS | 74.00 |
BASIC MATERIALS | MAJOR INTEGRATED OIL AND GAS | 73.75 |
BASIC MATERIALS | OIL & GAS PIPELINES | 65.00 |
BASIC MATERIALS | OIL & GAS REFINING & MARKETING | 65.00 |
BASIC MATERIALS | INDEPENDENT OIL & GAS | 62.06 |
BASIC MATERIALS | OIL & GAS DRILLING & EXPLORATION | 61.43 |
BASIC MATERIALS | OIL & GAS EQUIPMENT & SERVICES | 60.00 |
BASIC MATERIALS | GOLD | 40.00 |
CONSUMER GOODS | FOOD - MAJOR DIVERSIFIED | 87.50 |
CONSUMER GOODS | AUTO PARTS | 78.33 |
CONSUMER GOODS | PERSONAL PRODUCTS | 76.00 |
CONSUMER GOODS | TEXTILES | 75.00 |
CONSUMER GOODS | AUTO MANUFACTURERS- MAJOR | 73.33 |
CONSUMER GOODS | CIGARETTES | 70.00 |
CONSUMER GOODS | PROCESSED & PACKAGED GOODS | 67.86 |
CONSUMER GOODS | BEVERAGES | 66.43 |
FINANCIALS | ASSET MANAGEMENT | 94.17 |
FINANCIALS | CREDIT SERVICES | 87.00 |
FINANCIALS | INSURANCE BROKERS | 86.67 |
FINANCIALS | LIFE INSURANCE | 79.17 |
FINANCIALS | PROPERTY & CASUALITY INSURANCE | 75.91 |
FINANCIALS | MONEY CENTER BANKS | 73.89 |
FINANCIALS | INVESTMENT BROKERAGE | 70.00 |
FINANCIALS | REITS | 67.31 |
FINANCIALS | REGIONAL BANKS | 66.11 |
FINANCIALS | SAVINGS & LOANS | 61.67 |
FINANCIALS | FOREIGN MONEY CENTER BANKS | 56.00 |
HEALTHCARE | HEALTH CARE PLANS | 84.00 |
HEALTHCARE | MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & SUPPLIES | 80.00 |
HEALTHCARE | BIOTECHNOLOGY | 77.00 |
HEALTHCARE | MEDICAL APPLIANCES & EQUIPMENT | 72.86 |
HEALTHCARE | DRUG MANUFACTURERS | 61.00 |
INDUSTRIAL GOODS | DIVERSIFIED MACHINERY | 90.83 |
INDUSTRIAL GOODS | AEROSPACE/DEFENSE PRODUCTS & SERVICES | 90.71 |
INDUSTRIAL GOODS | INDUSTRIAL EQUIPMENT & COMPONENTS | 88.33 |
INDUSTRIAL GOODS | FARM & CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY | 72.50 |
SERVICES | LODGING | 86.67 |
SERVICES | RAILROADS | 86.25 |
SERVICES | BUSINESS SERVICES | 83.33 |
SERVICES | DRUG STORES | 80.00 |
SERVICES | RESORTS AND CASINOS | 80.00 |
SERVICES | DRUGS WHOLESALE | 78.33 |
SERVICES | ENTERTAINMENT- DIVERSIFIED | 77.50 |
SERVICES | AIR DELIVERY & FREIGHT SERVICES | 68.75 |
SERVICES | DISCOUNT, VARIETY STORES | 68.75 |
SERVICES | CATV SYSTEMS | 67.50 |
SERVICES | RESTAURANTS | 65.00 |
SERVICES | APPAREL STORES | 63.33 |
SERVICES | GROCERY STORES | 63.33 |
SERVICES | DEPARTMENT STORES | 47.00 |
TECHNOLOGY | TECHINICAL & SYSTEM SOFTWARE | 91.67 |
TECHNOLOGY | BUSINESS SOFTWARE & SERVICES | 91.00 |
TECHNOLOGY | INTERNET INFORMATION PROVIDER | 88.00 |
TECHNOLOGY | DATA STORAGE DEVICES | 81.25 |
TECHNOLOGY | DIVERSIFIED COMPUTER SYSTEMS | 78.33 |
TECHNOLOGY | APPLICATION SOFTWARE | 78.13 |
TECHNOLOGY | SCIENTIFIC & TECHNICAL INSTRUMENTS | 75.00 |
TECHNOLOGY | SEMICONDUCTOR-SPECIALIZED | 73.33 |
TECHNOLOGY | COMMUNICATION EQUIPMENT | 72.14 |
TECHNOLOGY | SEMICONDUCTOR- INTEGRATED CIRCUITS | 68.33 |
TECHNOLOGY | SEMICONDUCTOR EQUIPMENT & MATERIALS | 66.67 |
TECHNOLOGY | SEMICONDUCTOR- BROAD LINE | 65.00 |
TECHNOLOGY | WIRELESS COMMUNICATIONS | 58.89 |
TECHNOLOGY | TELECOM SERVICES - DOMESTIC | 58.75 |
TECHNOLOGY | INTERNET SOFTWARE & SERVICES | 58.33 |
TECHNOLOGY | DIVERSIFIED COMMUNICATION SERVICES | 55.00 |
UTILITIES | ELECTRIC UTILITIES | 56.43 |
UTILITIES | DIVERSIFIED UTILITIES | 52.14 |
UTILITIES | FOREIGN UTILITIES | 38.33 |
None.