Large Cap Report

The highest scoring names in large cap from 1 year ago (12/11/2012) returned 937 bps more than the S&P 500.  The top performers are DAL up 166%, GILD up 94%, MCK up 68%, and HRB up 62%.

  • Industrial goods are the top scoring sector.
  • The best large cap industry is asset managers.

The average large cap company score is 71.48, below the four week average score of 72.98.  The average large cap is trading 5.74% above its 200 dma, has 3.98 days to cover short and is expected to grow EPS by 12.9% next year.
The top scoring large cap sector is industrial goods.  Consumer goods, financials, and healthcare all score above average.  Technology and services score in line.  Basics and utilities score below average.

 

LG CAP       12/10/2013 4 week MA
Company Name Symbol Sector Industry SCORE SCORE
BEST          
Ameriprise Finl Inc AMP FINANCIALS ASSET MANAGEMENT 110 110
Microchip Tech MCHP TECHNOLOGY SEMICONDUCTOR-SPECIALIZED 110 108.75
Sigma Aldrich SIAL HEALTHCARE SPECIALTY CHEMICALS 110 88.75
Amphenol Corp APH TECHNOLOGY DIVERSIFIED ELECTRONICS 105 105
Autozone AZO SERVICES AUTO PARTS STORES 105 107.5
Boeing BA INDUSTRIAL GOODS AEROSPACE/DEFENSE  PRODUCTS & SERVICES 105 103.75
Becton Dickinson BDX HEALTHCARE MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & SUPPLIES 105 103.75
CSX Corp CSX SERVICES RAILROADS 105 105
Walt Disney Company DIS SERVICES ENTERTAINMENT- DIVERSIFIED 105 107.5
General Motors GM CONSUMER GOODS AUTO MANUFACTURERS- MAJOR 105 103.75
Nike NKE CONSUMER GOODS TEXTILES 105 105
Owens Illinois OI CONSUMER GOODS PACKAGING & CONTAINERS 105 105
Parker Hannifin PH INDUSTRIAL GOODS INDUSTRIAL EQUIPMENT & COMPONENTS 105 96.25
Adolph Coors Co TAP CONSUMER GOODS BEVERAGES 105 96.25
U.S. Steel X INDUSTRIAL GOODS METAL FABRICATION 105 95
Yahoo YHOO TECHNOLOGY INTERNET INFORMATION PROVIDER 105 105
Apple Computer AAPL TECHNOLOGY PERSONAL COMPUTERS 100 98.75
Alpha Natural Resources ANR BASIC MATERIALS INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINERALS 100 93.75
Aon Corp AON FINANCIALS INSURANCE BROKERS 100 100
C F Industries Hldngs CF BASIC MATERIALS AGRICULTURAL CHEMICALS 100 98.75
The Clorox Co CLX CONSUMER GOODS CLEANING PRODUCTS 100 100
Dollar General DG SERVICES DISCOUNT, VARIETY STORES 100 92.5
Danaher DHR CONGLOMERATES CONGLOMERATES 100 96.25
Ecolab ECL CONSUMER GOODS CLEANING PRODUCTS 100 93.75
Facebook FB TECHNOLOGY INTERNET INFORMATION PROVIDER 100 97.5
Hartford Finl Svcs Gro HIG FINANCIALS PROPERTY & CASUALITY INSURANCE 100 92.5
Hitachi Ltd. HTHIY.PK INDUSTRIAL GOODS FARM & CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY 100 91.25
Intercontinental Exchange ICE FINANCIALS BUSINESS SERVICES 100 98.75
Infosys Tech INFY TECHNOLOGY TECHINICAL & SYSTEM SOFTWARE 100 100
Nucor Corp NUE BASIC MATERIALS STEEL & IRON 100 97.5
Newell Rubbermaid NWL CONSUMER GOODS HOUSEWARES & ACCESSORIES 100 98.75
Royal Caribbean Cruises RCL SERVICES GENERAL ENTERTAINMENT 100 103.75
Wipro Ltd WIT TECHNOLOGY BUSINESS SOFTWARE & SERVICES 100 98.75
Agilent Tech A TECHNOLOGY SCIENTIFIC & TECHNICAL INSTRUMENTS 95 93.75
AbbVie Inc. ABBV HEALTHCARE DRUG MANUFACTURERS 95 85
A C E LTD ACE FINANCIALS PROPERTY & CASUALITY INSURANCE 95 97.5
Air Products & Chemicals APD BASIC MATERIALS CHEMICALS- MAJOR DIVERSIFIED 95 93.75
Blackrock Inc BLK FINANCIALS ASSET MANAGEMENT 95 97.5
B P plc BP BASIC MATERIALS MAJOR INTEGRATED OIL AND GAS 95 92.5
Chubb CB FINANCIALS PROPERTY & CASUALITY INSURANCE 95 97.5
Celgene CELG HEALTHCARE BIOTECHNOLOGY 95 92.5
CIGNA Corp. CI HEALTHCARE HEALTH CARE PLANS 95 93.75
Computer Sciences Corp CSC TECHNOLOGY INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY SERVICES 95 93.75
Cognizant CTSH TECHNOLOGY BUSINESS SOFTWARE & SERVICES 95 95
Dover Corp DOV INDUSTRIAL GOODS DIVERSIFIED MACHINERY 95 93.75
Emerson Electric EMR INDUSTRIAL GOODS INDUSTRIAL EQUIPMENT & COMPONENTS 95 92.5
Flowserve Corp FLS INDUSTRIAL GOODS DIVERSIFIED MACHINERY 95 93.75
Google Inc GOOG TECHNOLOGY INTERNET INFORMATION PROVIDER 95 86.25
Hyatt Hotels H SERVICES LODGING 95 96.25
Hewlett Packard HPQ TECHNOLOGY DIVERSIFIED COMPUTER SYSTEMS 95 97.5
Intuit Inc. INTU TECHNOLOGY APPLICATION SOFTWARE 95 98.75
Illinois Tool Works ITW INDUSTRIAL GOODS DIVERSIFIED MACHINERY 95 92.5
Kla-tencor Corp KLAC TECHNOLOGY SEMICONDUCTOR EQUIPMENT & MATERIALS 95 97.5
Lincoln Nat'l LNC FINANCIALS LIFE INSURANCE 95 98.75
Lorillard Inc LO CONSUMER GOODS CIGARETTES 95 97.5
Mastercard MA FINANCIALS BUSINESS SERVICES 95 95
Moody's Corp MCO FINANCIALS CREDIT SERVICES 95 98.75
Monsanto Co MON BASIC MATERIALS AGRICULTURAL CHEMICALS 95 98.75
Microsoft MSFT TECHNOLOGY APPLICATION SOFTWARE 95 95
Northrup Grumman NOC INDUSTRIAL GOODS AEROSPACE/DEFENSE  PRODUCTS & SERVICES 95 98.75
Norfolk South Corporation NSC SERVICES RAILROADS 95 93.75
Paychex PAYX SERVICES STAFFING & OUTSOURCING SERVICES 95 98.75
Principal Financial Gr PFG FINANCIALS ASSET MANAGEMENT 95 98.75
Proctor & Gamble PG CONSUMER GOODS PERSONAL PRODUCTS 95 90
Seagate Technology STX TECHNOLOGY DATA STORAGE DEVICES 95 93.75
Unum Group UNM FINANCIALS ACCIDENT & HEALTH INSURANCE 95 93.75
US Bancorp USB FINANCIALS REGIONAL BANKS 95 95
Viacom VIA SERVICES ENTERTAINMENT- DIVERSIFIED 95 86.25
Viacom Inc VIAB SERVICES CATV SYSTEMS 95 86.25
Western Digital WDC TECHNOLOGY DATA STORAGE DEVICES 95 93.75
Waste Management WM INDUSTRIAL GOODS WASTE MANAGEMENT 95 97.5
Exxon Mobil XOM BASIC MATERIALS MAJOR INTEGRATED OIL AND GAS 95 87.5
           
WORST          
Firstenergy Corp FE UTILITIES ELECTRIC UTILITIES 20 20
Sears Holding Corp SHLD SERVICES DEPARTMENT STORES 20 43.75
Potash Corp of Saskatchewan Inc POT BASIC MATERIALS NONMETALLIC MINERAL MINING 25 27.5
Agnico Eagle Mines AEM BASIC MATERIALS GOLD 30 33.75
Avon Products Inc AVP CONSUMER GOODS PERSONAL PRODUCTS 30 28.75
Dr Pepper Snapple Grou DPS CONSUMER GOODS BEVERAGES 30 28.75
Enersis SA ENI UTILITIES FOREIGN UTILITIES 30 36.25
Exelon EXC UTILITIES DIVERSIFIED UTILITIES 30 27.5
Kohl's Corp KSS SERVICES DEPARTMENT STORES 30 50
Mosaic Company MOS BASIC MATERIALS AGRICULTURAL CHEMICALS 30 37.5
Public Service Ent. PEG UTILITIES DIVERSIFIED UTILITIES 30 31.25
Silver Wheaton SLW BASIC MATERIALS SILVER 30 26.25
Symantec SYMC TECHNOLOGY INTERNET SOFTWARE & SERVICES 30 33.75
Vertex Pharmaceuticals VRTX HEALTHCARE DRUG MANUFACTURERS 30 28.75

 

 


Commentary:
 


The following table shows how large cap sectors are executing on earnings relative to analyst consensus estimates.  Over the past year, healthcare has been best at outpacing the Street, beating an average 2.8 of the past four quarters.  That was up slightly from 2.77 for the prior period's trailing four quarters.  Only consumer and financials have seen their ability to outpace drop.  Industrials have seen their average number of beats climb the most from the prior period.
 




 

The top large cap industry is asset managers (AMP, BLK, TROW, BEN, IVZ).  Asset manager fee revenue is shifting to mix friendly equities from low fee fixed income.  AUM growth tied to equity appreciation is also driving fee revenue higher.  Technical & system (INFY, ADSK) and business software (WIT, CTSH, FISV, ADP) is strong scoring on rising optimism of software spending next year.   Diversified machinery (ITW, FLS, DOV, CMI) offers growth as Europe turns from a headwind to a tailwind and U.S. manufacturing continues higher.  Aerospace/defense (BA, NOC, RTN, HON, GD) benefits from rising enthusiasm for a Gov't budget resolution.  OEMs boosting of production offers ongoing support to suppliers into 2014.  Output of BA's 737s will climb to 42 from 38 per month in the first half of next year, with BA guiding for production to climb to 47 per month in 2017.

The best scoring large cap basics industries are industrial metals & minerals (ANR, ATI, CNX), major chemicals (APD, DOW) and steel & iron (NUE, TX, MT, GGB, CLF).  Steel prices have continued to improve off summer lows, with the MetalMiner monthly Raw Steels MMI price index improving 3.7% in December from November.  In consumer goods, buy major food (MDLZ, ADM), auto parts (LEA, JCI) and personal products (PG, EL, CL).  According to Ward's, the daily sales rate of U.S. light vehicles improved 4.5% in November.  Textiles (NKE, VFC) are also strong and benefit as cotton prices have retreated.  In financials, own asset managers, credit services (MCO, COF, AXP) and insurance brokers (AON, MMC).  Credit card and consumer loan standards continue to ease, supporting loan growth.   According to MarketScout, the average P&C insurance premium improved 4% YoY in November.  In healthcare, focus on health care plans (CI, UNH, WLP), medical instruments (BDX, SYK, BCR) and biotechnology (CELG, GILD, BIIB).  In industrial goods, every industry scores above average, led by diversified machinery and aerospace/defense.  Lodging (H, HOT), rails (CSX, NSC, CP), and business services (CME, V, FIS) score highest in services.  RevPAR gained 4.1% in the most recently reported month of October, according to STR.  In technology, buy technical & system software, business software, and Internet information providers (YHOO, FB, GOOG, LNKD, EXPE). 

 
 

LG CAP INDUSTRY SCORE BY SECTOR   12/10/2013
Sector Industry SCORE
     
BASIC MATERIALS INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINERALS 81.00
BASIC MATERIALS CHEMICALS- MAJOR DIVERSIFIED 78.33
BASIC MATERIALS STEEL & IRON 78.33
BASIC MATERIALS AGRICULTURAL CHEMICALS 74.00
BASIC MATERIALS MAJOR INTEGRATED OIL AND GAS 73.75
BASIC MATERIALS OIL & GAS PIPELINES 65.00
BASIC MATERIALS OIL & GAS REFINING & MARKETING 65.00
BASIC MATERIALS INDEPENDENT OIL & GAS 62.06
BASIC MATERIALS OIL & GAS DRILLING & EXPLORATION 61.43
BASIC MATERIALS OIL & GAS EQUIPMENT & SERVICES 60.00
BASIC MATERIALS GOLD 40.00
CONSUMER GOODS FOOD - MAJOR DIVERSIFIED 87.50
CONSUMER GOODS AUTO PARTS 78.33
CONSUMER GOODS PERSONAL PRODUCTS 76.00
CONSUMER GOODS TEXTILES 75.00
CONSUMER GOODS AUTO MANUFACTURERS- MAJOR 73.33
CONSUMER GOODS CIGARETTES 70.00
CONSUMER GOODS PROCESSED & PACKAGED GOODS 67.86
CONSUMER GOODS BEVERAGES 66.43
FINANCIALS ASSET MANAGEMENT 94.17
FINANCIALS CREDIT SERVICES 87.00
FINANCIALS INSURANCE BROKERS 86.67
FINANCIALS LIFE INSURANCE 79.17
FINANCIALS PROPERTY & CASUALITY INSURANCE 75.91
FINANCIALS MONEY CENTER BANKS 73.89
FINANCIALS INVESTMENT BROKERAGE 70.00
FINANCIALS REITS 67.31
FINANCIALS REGIONAL BANKS 66.11
FINANCIALS SAVINGS & LOANS 61.67
FINANCIALS FOREIGN MONEY CENTER BANKS 56.00
HEALTHCARE HEALTH CARE PLANS 84.00
HEALTHCARE MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & SUPPLIES 80.00
HEALTHCARE BIOTECHNOLOGY 77.00
HEALTHCARE MEDICAL APPLIANCES & EQUIPMENT 72.86
HEALTHCARE DRUG MANUFACTURERS 61.00
INDUSTRIAL GOODS DIVERSIFIED MACHINERY 90.83
INDUSTRIAL GOODS AEROSPACE/DEFENSE  PRODUCTS & SERVICES 90.71
INDUSTRIAL GOODS INDUSTRIAL EQUIPMENT & COMPONENTS 88.33
INDUSTRIAL GOODS FARM & CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY 72.50
SERVICES LODGING 86.67
SERVICES RAILROADS 86.25
SERVICES BUSINESS SERVICES 83.33
SERVICES DRUG STORES 80.00
SERVICES RESORTS AND CASINOS 80.00
SERVICES DRUGS WHOLESALE 78.33
SERVICES ENTERTAINMENT- DIVERSIFIED 77.50
SERVICES AIR DELIVERY & FREIGHT SERVICES 68.75
SERVICES DISCOUNT, VARIETY STORES 68.75
SERVICES CATV SYSTEMS 67.50
SERVICES RESTAURANTS 65.00
SERVICES APPAREL STORES 63.33
SERVICES GROCERY STORES 63.33
SERVICES DEPARTMENT STORES 47.00
TECHNOLOGY TECHINICAL & SYSTEM SOFTWARE 91.67
TECHNOLOGY BUSINESS SOFTWARE & SERVICES 91.00
TECHNOLOGY INTERNET INFORMATION PROVIDER 88.00
TECHNOLOGY DATA STORAGE DEVICES 81.25
TECHNOLOGY DIVERSIFIED COMPUTER SYSTEMS 78.33
TECHNOLOGY APPLICATION SOFTWARE 78.13
TECHNOLOGY SCIENTIFIC & TECHNICAL INSTRUMENTS 75.00
TECHNOLOGY SEMICONDUCTOR-SPECIALIZED 73.33
TECHNOLOGY COMMUNICATION EQUIPMENT 72.14
TECHNOLOGY SEMICONDUCTOR- INTEGRATED CIRCUITS 68.33
TECHNOLOGY SEMICONDUCTOR EQUIPMENT & MATERIALS 66.67
TECHNOLOGY SEMICONDUCTOR- BROAD LINE 65.00
TECHNOLOGY WIRELESS COMMUNICATIONS 58.89
TECHNOLOGY TELECOM SERVICES - DOMESTIC 58.75
TECHNOLOGY INTERNET SOFTWARE & SERVICES 58.33
TECHNOLOGY DIVERSIFIED COMMUNICATION SERVICES 55.00
UTILITIES ELECTRIC UTILITIES 56.43
UTILITIES DIVERSIFIED UTILITIES 52.14
UTILITIES FOREIGN UTILITIES 38.33

 

 

None.

How did you like this article? Let us know so we can better customize your reading experience.

Comments

Leave a comment to automatically be entered into our contest to win a free Echo Show.