Large Cap Report Best And Worst

Our top scoring large cap stocks from 1 year ago produced an average 287 bps of excess return to the S&P 500 over the past year. The best performers from a year ago (5/28/2013) are EOG up 59%, MGA up 59%, WFT up 50%, EA up 50%, HAL up 49%, and NOC up 49%.

  • The top scoring large cap sector is utilities.
  • The best scoring large cap industry is drug stores.

The average large cap score is 60.74, above the four week moving average score of 58.93. The average large cap is trading -9.5% below its 52 week high, 3.27% above its 200 dma, has 3.87 days to cover short, and is expected to post EPS growth of 13.34% next year.
 
Utilities, healthcare, and industrial goods score best across large cap. Basic materials and consumer goods score in line. Services, technology, and financials score below average.

LG CAP       5/29/2014 4 Week MA
Company Name Symbol Sector INDUSTRY SCORE SCORE
BEST          
AbbVie Inc. ABBV HEALTHCARE DRUG MANUFACTURERS 110 97.5
Sigma Aldrich SIAL HEALTHCARE SPECIALTY CHEMICALS 110 102.5
Amphenol Corp APH TECHNOLOGY DIVERSIFIED ELECTRONICS 105 103.75
Burger King BKW SERVICES RESTAURANTS 105 95
CSX Corp CSX SERVICES RAILROADS 105 91.25
Autonation AN SERVICES AUTO DEALERSHIPS 100 97.5
Edison Intl EIX UTILITIES ELECTRIC UTILITIES 100 96.25
Energizer Hldgs Inc ENR INDUSTRIAL GOODS INDUSTRIAL ELECTRICAL EQUIPMENT 100 98.75
Eqt Corp EQT UTILITIES GAS UTILITIES 100 101.25
General Dynamics GD INDUSTRIAL GOODS AEROSPACE/DEFENSE  PRODUCTS & SERVICES 100 98.75
Green Mtn. Coffee Roasters GMCR CONSUMER GOODS PROCESSED & PACKAGED GOODS 100 98.75
Idexx Lab IDXX HEALTHCARE DIAGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES 100 98.75
Illumina ILMN HEALTHCARE BIOTECHNOLOGY 100 100
Johnson & Johnson JNJ HEALTHCARE DRUG MANUFACTURERS 100 102.5
Kellogg Company K CONSUMER GOODS PROCESSED & PACKAGED GOODS 100 97.5
Lorillard Inc LO CONSUMER GOODS CIGARETTES 100 98.75
Lam Research Corp LRCX TECHNOLOGY SEMICONDUCTOR EQUIPMENT & MATERIALS 100 100
Merck MRK HEALTHCARE DRUG MANUFACTURERS 100 92.5
Nextera Energy NEE UTILITIES ELECTRIC UTILITIES 100 91.25
O'Reilly Auto ORLY SERVICES AUTO PARTS STORES 100 97.5
Transdigm Group Inc. TDG INDUSTRIAL GOODS AEROSPACE/DEFENSE  PRODUCTS & SERVICES 100 97.5
American Int'l Group AIG FINANCIALS PROPERTY & CASUALITY INSURANCE 95 87.5
Alexion Pharma ALXN HEALTHCARE DRUG MANUFACTURERS 95 92.5
Avalonbay Comm. AVB FINANCIALS REITS 95 98.75
Autozone AZO SERVICES AUTO PARTS STORES 95 92.5
B P plc BP BASIC MATERIALS MAJOR INTEGRATED OIL AND GAS 95 93.75
Cummins Inc CMI INDUSTRIAL GOODS DIVERSIFIED MACHINERY 95 93.75
C V S Corp CVS SERVICES DRUG STORES 95 93.75
Walt Disney Company DIS SERVICES ENTERTAINMENT- DIVERSIFIED 95 93.75
Dover Corp DOV INDUSTRIAL GOODS DIVERSIFIED MACHINERY 95 93.75
The Directv Group Inc DTV TECHNOLOGY COMMUNICATION EQUIPMENT 95 96.25
DaVita Inc DVA HEALTHCARE SPECIALIZED HEALTH SERVICES 95 86.25
EnCana Corp ECA BASIC MATERIALS INDEPENDENT OIL & GAS 95 96.25
Eastman Chemical Co EMN BASIC MATERIALS CHEMICALS- MAJOR DIVERSIFIED 95 93.75
Endo Health Solutions ENDP HEALTHCARE DRUG MANUFACTURERS 95 88.75
E O G Resources EOG BASIC MATERIALS INDEPENDENT OIL & GAS 95 93.75
Entergy Corp New ETR UTILITIES ELECTRIC UTILITIES 95 93.75
Goodyear Tire GT CONSUMER GOODS RUBBER & PLASTICS 95 73.75
Halliburton HAL BASIC MATERIALS OIL & GAS EQUIPMENT & SERVICES 95 93.75
L3 Communications LLL SERVICES SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES 95 87.5
Eli Lilly LLY HEALTHCARE DRUG MANUFACTURERS 95 93.75
Mdu Res Group Inc MDU INDUSTRIAL GOODS GENERAL BUILDING MATERIALS 95 86.25
Omnicare OCR SERVICES DRUG STORES 95 76.25
P P L Corp PPL UTILITIES ELECTRIC UTILITIES 95 91.25
Reynolds American RAI CONSUMER GOODS CIGARETTES 95 93.75
Shaw Communications Inc SJR SERVICES CATV SYSTEMS 95 87.5
Snap On Inc SNA INDUSTRIAL GOODS SMALL TOOLS & ACCESSORIES 95 93.75
Constellation Brands STZ CONSUMER GOODS BEVERAGES 95 93.75
Tyson Foods TSN CONSUMER GOODS MEAT PRODUCTS 95 93.75
Time Warner TWX SERVICES ENTERTAINMENT- DIVERSIFIED 95 82.5
Universal Health UHS HEALTHCARE HOSPITALS 95 82.5
Weatherfold International Inc WFT BASIC MATERIALS OIL & GAS EQUIPMENT & SERVICES 95 93.75
Brown Forman Corp BF.B CONSUMER GOODS BEVERAGES 90 90
C H Robinson Worldwide CHRW SERVICES AIR DELIVERY & FREIGHT SERVICES 90 77.5
Continental Resources CLR BASIC MATERIALS OIL & GAS DRILLING & EXPLORATION 90 88.75
Camden Ppty CPT FINANCIALS REITS 90 92.5
Essex Ppty Trust ESS FINANCIALS REITS 90 92.5
Edwards Lifesciences EW HEALTHCARE MEDICAL APPLIANCES & EQUIPMENT 90 95
Intel INTC TECHNOLOGY SEMICONDUCTOR- BROAD LINE 90 75
Public Service Ent. PEG UTILITIES DIVERSIFIED UTILITIES 90 87.5
Scana Corp New SCG UTILITIES DIVERSIFIED UTILITIES 90 81.25
S L Green SLG FINANCIALS REITS 90 92.5
Salix Pharm SLXP HEALTHCARE DRUGS-GENERIC 90 88.75
Wells Fargo WFC FINANCIALS MONEY CENTER BANKS 90 88.75
           
WORST          
Bed Bath & Beyond BBBY SERVICES HOME FURNISHING & FIXTURES 15 16.25
Incyte Corp INCY HEALTHCARE BIOTECHNOLOGY 15 22.5
Mattel Inc MAT CONSUMER GOODS TOYS & GAMES 15 20
Silver Wheaton SLW BASIC MATERIALS SILVER 15 23.75
Fireeye Inc FEYE TECHNOLOGY APPLICATION SOFTWARE 20 18.75
Gerdau SA GGB BASIC MATERIALS STEEL & IRON 20 20
Leucadia Nat'l LUK CONGLOMERATES CONGLOMERATES 20 17.5
Nomura Holdings NMR FINANCIALS INVESTMENT BROKERAGE 20 18.75
Dr.Reddy's Labs RDY HEALTHCARE DRUG MANUFACTURERS 20 40



 

The top large cap industry is drug stores (OCR, CVS, RAD). Drug store margin is supported by the patent calendar given that $34 billion will lose exclusivity this year and $66 billion will go off-patent in 2015. Railroad (CSX, UNP, NSC, KSU) carload volume is up 4% year-over-year in 2014 thanks to rebounding grain and coal shipments and ongoing strength in petroleum shipments. Pipeline (SE, WMB) throughput continues to benefit from capacity additions tied to rising shale production. Natural gas rigs have begun climbing again as prices have stabilized ahead of summer cooling natural gas utility demand. Interest in cigarette companies (LO, RAI, MO) is climbing in line with seasonal portfolio de-risking into summer. Semi ICs (TSM, MRVL) are strong scoring; however, investors should keep in mind that, historically, the SEMI book to bill peaks in the second quarter.

In large cap basics, buy pipelines, major chemicals (EMN, ASH, SHW), and major oil & gas (BP, XOM, COP). In consumer goods, focus on cigarettes, auto parts (TRW, MGA, ALV, BWA), and beverages (STZ, BF.B, DPS). Auto parts sales and profit growth should head higher thanks to rebounding commercial and passenger car registrations in Europe. EU passenger vehicle registrations are up 7.4% year-over-year in 2014.

In financials, concentrate on REITs (AVB, SLG, ESS, CPT, VNO), credit services (SLM, MCO, COF), and P&C insurers (AIG, WRB, XL, TRV). P&C insurers tend to head higher through hurricane season as storm season typically provide rate price power. In healthcare, buy healthcare plans (HUM, CI), drugmakers (ABBV, MRK, JNJ, LLY, ENDP, ALXN), and medical appliances (EW, RMD). Across industrial goods, buy diversified machinery (DOV, CMI), aerospace/defense (TDG, GD, BA), and industrial equipment (ROP, PNR). Aerospace tends to head higher into the summer air show order season. The best services industries include drug stores, rails, and diversified entertainment (TWX, DIS). Discretionary stocks tend to underperform through summer. In technology, buy semi ICs, diversified communication (AMT), and domestic telecom (CTL). All utilities (NEE, EIX, PPL, ETR, SCG, PEG) baskets score above average this week.

LG CAP INDUSTRY SCORE BY SECTOR   5/29/2014
Sector Industry SCORE
     
BASIC MATERIALS OIL & GAS PIPELINES 77.50
BASIC MATERIALS CHEMICALS- MAJOR DIVERSIFIED 72.50
BASIC MATERIALS MAJOR INTEGRATED OIL AND GAS 72.50
BASIC MATERIALS OIL & GAS EQUIPMENT & SERVICES 70.91
BASIC MATERIALS INDEPENDENT OIL & GAS 68.82
BASIC MATERIALS OIL & GAS DRILLING & EXPLORATION 66.67
BASIC MATERIALS INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINERALS 62.50
BASIC MATERIALS AGRICULTURAL CHEMICALS 56.00
BASIC MATERIALS OIL & GAS REFINING & MARKETING 51.67
BASIC MATERIALS STEEL & IRON 37.14
BASIC MATERIALS GOLD 34.17
CONSUMER GOODS CIGARETTES 76.25
CONSUMER GOODS AUTO PARTS 75.83
CONSUMER GOODS BEVERAGES 69.44
CONSUMER GOODS PROCESSED & PACKAGED GOODS 66.88
CONSUMER GOODS FOOD - MAJOR DIVERSIFIED 60.00
CONSUMER GOODS TEXTILES 57.22
CONSUMER GOODS PERSONAL PRODUCTS 51.00
CONSUMER GOODS AUTO MANUFACTURERS- MAJOR 45.83
FINANCIALS REITS 74.05
FINANCIALS CREDIT SERVICES 65.63
FINANCIALS PROPERTY & CASUALITY INSURANCE 62.81
FINANCIALS MONEY CENTER BANKS 61.11
FINANCIALS FOREIGN MONEY CENTER BANKS 56.00
FINANCIALS INSURANCE BROKERS 53.75
FINANCIALS LIFE INSURANCE 53.33
FINANCIALS REGIONAL BANKS 49.00
FINANCIALS ASSET MANAGEMENT 45.00
FINANCIALS SAVINGS & LOANS 42.50
FINANCIALS INVESTMENT BROKERAGE 38.75
HEALTHCARE HEALTH CARE PLANS 70.00
HEALTHCARE DRUG MANUFACTURERS 67.39
HEALTHCARE MEDICAL APPLIANCES & EQUIPMENT 63.13
HEALTHCARE MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & SUPPLIES 53.33
HEALTHCARE BIOTECHNOLOGY 52.92
INDUSTRIAL GOODS DIVERSIFIED MACHINERY 70.71
INDUSTRIAL GOODS AEROSPACE/DEFENSE  PRODUCTS & SERVICES 69.50
INDUSTRIAL GOODS INDUSTRIAL EQUIPMENT & COMPONENTS 63.75
INDUSTRIAL GOODS FARM & CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY 48.00
SERVICES DRUG STORES 83.75
SERVICES RAILROADS 82.00
SERVICES ENTERTAINMENT- DIVERSIFIED 68.75
SERVICES DRUGS WHOLESALE 66.67
SERVICES RESTAURANTS 66.00
SERVICES AIR DELIVERY & FREIGHT SERVICES 62.50
SERVICES GROCERY STORES 61.67
SERVICES CATV SYSTEMS 61.43
SERVICES LODGING 61.25
SERVICES BUSINESS SERVICES 58.50
SERVICES APPAREL STORES 52.86
SERVICES DEPARTMENT STORES 50.00
SERVICES DISCOUNT, VARIETY STORES 50.00
SERVICES RESORTS AND CASINOS 50.00
TECHNOLOGY SEMICONDUCTOR- INTEGRATED CIRCUITS 76.25
TECHNOLOGY DIVERSIFIED COMMUNICATION SERVICES 68.33
TECHNOLOGY TELECOM SERVICES - DOMESTIC 66.67
TECHNOLOGY COMMUNICATION EQUIPMENT 65.83
TECHNOLOGY SEMICONDUCTOR EQUIPMENT & MATERIALS 63.00
TECHNOLOGY SEMICONDUCTOR- BROAD LINE 62.50
TECHNOLOGY BUSINESS SOFTWARE & SERVICES 61.00
TECHNOLOGY SCIENTIFIC & TECHNICAL INSTRUMENTS 58.75
TECHNOLOGY SEMICONDUCTOR-SPECIALIZED 57.50
TECHNOLOGY DIVERSIFIED COMPUTER SYSTEMS 56.67
TECHNOLOGY INTERNET INFORMATION PROVIDER 55.83
TECHNOLOGY TECHINICAL & SYSTEM SOFTWARE 55.83
TECHNOLOGY APPLICATION SOFTWARE 53.50
TECHNOLOGY INTERNET SOFTWARE & SERVICES 52.00
TECHNOLOGY WIRELESS COMMUNICATIONS 49.38
TECHNOLOGY DATA STORAGE DEVICES 48.75
UTILITIES ELECTRIC UTILITIES 75.00
UTILITIES FOREIGN UTILITIES 68.33
UTILITIES DIVERSIFIED UTILITIES 67.00
 

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