Large Cap Report Best And Worst
Our top scoring large cap stocks from 1 year ago produced an average 287 bps of excess return to the S&P 500 over the past year. The best performers from a year ago (5/28/2013) are EOG up 59%, MGA up 59%, WFT up 50%, EA up 50%, HAL up 49%, and NOC up 49%.
- The top scoring large cap sector is utilities.
- The best scoring large cap industry is drug stores.
The average large cap score is 60.74, above the four week moving average score of 58.93. The average large cap is trading -9.5% below its 52 week high, 3.27% above its 200 dma, has 3.87 days to cover short, and is expected to post EPS growth of 13.34% next year.
Utilities, healthcare, and industrial goods score best across large cap. Basic materials and consumer goods score in line. Services, technology, and financials score below average.
LG CAP | 5/29/2014 | 4 Week MA | |||
Company Name | Symbol | Sector | INDUSTRY | SCORE | SCORE |
BEST | |||||
AbbVie Inc. | ABBV | HEALTHCARE | DRUG MANUFACTURERS | 110 | 97.5 |
Sigma Aldrich | SIAL | HEALTHCARE | SPECIALTY CHEMICALS | 110 | 102.5 |
Amphenol Corp | APH | TECHNOLOGY | DIVERSIFIED ELECTRONICS | 105 | 103.75 |
Burger King | BKW | SERVICES | RESTAURANTS | 105 | 95 |
CSX Corp | CSX | SERVICES | RAILROADS | 105 | 91.25 |
Autonation | AN | SERVICES | AUTO DEALERSHIPS | 100 | 97.5 |
Edison Intl | EIX | UTILITIES | ELECTRIC UTILITIES | 100 | 96.25 |
Energizer Hldgs Inc | ENR | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | INDUSTRIAL ELECTRICAL EQUIPMENT | 100 | 98.75 |
Eqt Corp | EQT | UTILITIES | GAS UTILITIES | 100 | 101.25 |
General Dynamics | GD | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | AEROSPACE/DEFENSE PRODUCTS & SERVICES | 100 | 98.75 |
Green Mtn. Coffee Roasters | GMCR | CONSUMER GOODS | PROCESSED & PACKAGED GOODS | 100 | 98.75 |
Idexx Lab | IDXX | HEALTHCARE | DIAGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES | 100 | 98.75 |
Illumina | ILMN | HEALTHCARE | BIOTECHNOLOGY | 100 | 100 |
Johnson & Johnson | JNJ | HEALTHCARE | DRUG MANUFACTURERS | 100 | 102.5 |
Kellogg Company | K | CONSUMER GOODS | PROCESSED & PACKAGED GOODS | 100 | 97.5 |
Lorillard Inc | LO | CONSUMER GOODS | CIGARETTES | 100 | 98.75 |
Lam Research Corp | LRCX | TECHNOLOGY | SEMICONDUCTOR EQUIPMENT & MATERIALS | 100 | 100 |
Merck | MRK | HEALTHCARE | DRUG MANUFACTURERS | 100 | 92.5 |
Nextera Energy | NEE | UTILITIES | ELECTRIC UTILITIES | 100 | 91.25 |
O'Reilly Auto | ORLY | SERVICES | AUTO PARTS STORES | 100 | 97.5 |
Transdigm Group Inc. | TDG | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | AEROSPACE/DEFENSE PRODUCTS & SERVICES | 100 | 97.5 |
American Int'l Group | AIG | FINANCIALS | PROPERTY & CASUALITY INSURANCE | 95 | 87.5 |
Alexion Pharma | ALXN | HEALTHCARE | DRUG MANUFACTURERS | 95 | 92.5 |
Avalonbay Comm. | AVB | FINANCIALS | REITS | 95 | 98.75 |
Autozone | AZO | SERVICES | AUTO PARTS STORES | 95 | 92.5 |
B P plc | BP | BASIC MATERIALS | MAJOR INTEGRATED OIL AND GAS | 95 | 93.75 |
Cummins Inc | CMI | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | DIVERSIFIED MACHINERY | 95 | 93.75 |
C V S Corp | CVS | SERVICES | DRUG STORES | 95 | 93.75 |
Walt Disney Company | DIS | SERVICES | ENTERTAINMENT- DIVERSIFIED | 95 | 93.75 |
Dover Corp | DOV | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | DIVERSIFIED MACHINERY | 95 | 93.75 |
The Directv Group Inc | DTV | TECHNOLOGY | COMMUNICATION EQUIPMENT | 95 | 96.25 |
DaVita Inc | DVA | HEALTHCARE | SPECIALIZED HEALTH SERVICES | 95 | 86.25 |
EnCana Corp | ECA | BASIC MATERIALS | INDEPENDENT OIL & GAS | 95 | 96.25 |
Eastman Chemical Co | EMN | BASIC MATERIALS | CHEMICALS- MAJOR DIVERSIFIED | 95 | 93.75 |
Endo Health Solutions | ENDP | HEALTHCARE | DRUG MANUFACTURERS | 95 | 88.75 |
E O G Resources | EOG | BASIC MATERIALS | INDEPENDENT OIL & GAS | 95 | 93.75 |
Entergy Corp New | ETR | UTILITIES | ELECTRIC UTILITIES | 95 | 93.75 |
Goodyear Tire | GT | CONSUMER GOODS | RUBBER & PLASTICS | 95 | 73.75 |
Halliburton | HAL | BASIC MATERIALS | OIL & GAS EQUIPMENT & SERVICES | 95 | 93.75 |
L3 Communications | LLL | SERVICES | SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES | 95 | 87.5 |
Eli Lilly | LLY | HEALTHCARE | DRUG MANUFACTURERS | 95 | 93.75 |
Mdu Res Group Inc | MDU | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | GENERAL BUILDING MATERIALS | 95 | 86.25 |
Omnicare | OCR | SERVICES | DRUG STORES | 95 | 76.25 |
P P L Corp | PPL | UTILITIES | ELECTRIC UTILITIES | 95 | 91.25 |
Reynolds American | RAI | CONSUMER GOODS | CIGARETTES | 95 | 93.75 |
Shaw Communications Inc | SJR | SERVICES | CATV SYSTEMS | 95 | 87.5 |
Snap On Inc | SNA | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | SMALL TOOLS & ACCESSORIES | 95 | 93.75 |
Constellation Brands | STZ | CONSUMER GOODS | BEVERAGES | 95 | 93.75 |
Tyson Foods | TSN | CONSUMER GOODS | MEAT PRODUCTS | 95 | 93.75 |
Time Warner | TWX | SERVICES | ENTERTAINMENT- DIVERSIFIED | 95 | 82.5 |
Universal Health | UHS | HEALTHCARE | HOSPITALS | 95 | 82.5 |
Weatherfold International Inc | WFT | BASIC MATERIALS | OIL & GAS EQUIPMENT & SERVICES | 95 | 93.75 |
Brown Forman Corp | BF.B | CONSUMER GOODS | BEVERAGES | 90 | 90 |
C H Robinson Worldwide | CHRW | SERVICES | AIR DELIVERY & FREIGHT SERVICES | 90 | 77.5 |
Continental Resources | CLR | BASIC MATERIALS | OIL & GAS DRILLING & EXPLORATION | 90 | 88.75 |
Camden Ppty | CPT | FINANCIALS | REITS | 90 | 92.5 |
Essex Ppty Trust | ESS | FINANCIALS | REITS | 90 | 92.5 |
Edwards Lifesciences | EW | HEALTHCARE | MEDICAL APPLIANCES & EQUIPMENT | 90 | 95 |
Intel | INTC | TECHNOLOGY | SEMICONDUCTOR- BROAD LINE | 90 | 75 |
Public Service Ent. | PEG | UTILITIES | DIVERSIFIED UTILITIES | 90 | 87.5 |
Scana Corp New | SCG | UTILITIES | DIVERSIFIED UTILITIES | 90 | 81.25 |
S L Green | SLG | FINANCIALS | REITS | 90 | 92.5 |
Salix Pharm | SLXP | HEALTHCARE | DRUGS-GENERIC | 90 | 88.75 |
Wells Fargo | WFC | FINANCIALS | MONEY CENTER BANKS | 90 | 88.75 |
WORST | |||||
Bed Bath & Beyond | BBBY | SERVICES | HOME FURNISHING & FIXTURES | 15 | 16.25 |
Incyte Corp | INCY | HEALTHCARE | BIOTECHNOLOGY | 15 | 22.5 |
Mattel Inc | MAT | CONSUMER GOODS | TOYS & GAMES | 15 | 20 |
Silver Wheaton | SLW | BASIC MATERIALS | SILVER | 15 | 23.75 |
Fireeye Inc | FEYE | TECHNOLOGY | APPLICATION SOFTWARE | 20 | 18.75 |
Gerdau SA | GGB | BASIC MATERIALS | STEEL & IRON | 20 | 20 |
Leucadia Nat'l | LUK | CONGLOMERATES | CONGLOMERATES | 20 | 17.5 |
Nomura Holdings | NMR | FINANCIALS | INVESTMENT BROKERAGE | 20 | 18.75 |
Dr.Reddy's Labs | RDY | HEALTHCARE | DRUG MANUFACTURERS | 20 | 40 |
The top large cap industry is drug stores (OCR, CVS, RAD). Drug store margin is supported by the patent calendar given that $34 billion will lose exclusivity this year and $66 billion will go off-patent in 2015. Railroad (CSX, UNP, NSC, KSU) carload volume is up 4% year-over-year in 2014 thanks to rebounding grain and coal shipments and ongoing strength in petroleum shipments. Pipeline (SE, WMB) throughput continues to benefit from capacity additions tied to rising shale production. Natural gas rigs have begun climbing again as prices have stabilized ahead of summer cooling natural gas utility demand. Interest in cigarette companies (LO, RAI, MO) is climbing in line with seasonal portfolio de-risking into summer. Semi ICs (TSM, MRVL) are strong scoring; however, investors should keep in mind that, historically, the SEMI book to bill peaks in the second quarter.
In large cap basics, buy pipelines, major chemicals (EMN, ASH, SHW), and major oil & gas (BP, XOM, COP). In consumer goods, focus on cigarettes, auto parts (TRW, MGA, ALV, BWA), and beverages (STZ, BF.B, DPS). Auto parts sales and profit growth should head higher thanks to rebounding commercial and passenger car registrations in Europe. EU passenger vehicle registrations are up 7.4% year-over-year in 2014.
In financials, concentrate on REITs (AVB, SLG, ESS, CPT, VNO), credit services (SLM, MCO, COF), and P&C insurers (AIG, WRB, XL, TRV). P&C insurers tend to head higher through hurricane season as storm season typically provide rate price power. In healthcare, buy healthcare plans (HUM, CI), drugmakers (ABBV, MRK, JNJ, LLY, ENDP, ALXN), and medical appliances (EW, RMD). Across industrial goods, buy diversified machinery (DOV, CMI), aerospace/defense (TDG, GD, BA), and industrial equipment (ROP, PNR). Aerospace tends to head higher into the summer air show order season. The best services industries include drug stores, rails, and diversified entertainment (TWX, DIS). Discretionary stocks tend to underperform through summer. In technology, buy semi ICs, diversified communication (AMT), and domestic telecom (CTL). All utilities (NEE, EIX, PPL, ETR, SCG, PEG) baskets score above average this week.
LG CAP INDUSTRY SCORE BY SECTOR | 5/29/2014 | |
Sector | Industry | SCORE |
BASIC MATERIALS | OIL & GAS PIPELINES | 77.50 |
BASIC MATERIALS | CHEMICALS- MAJOR DIVERSIFIED | 72.50 |
BASIC MATERIALS | MAJOR INTEGRATED OIL AND GAS | 72.50 |
BASIC MATERIALS | OIL & GAS EQUIPMENT & SERVICES | 70.91 |
BASIC MATERIALS | INDEPENDENT OIL & GAS | 68.82 |
BASIC MATERIALS | OIL & GAS DRILLING & EXPLORATION | 66.67 |
BASIC MATERIALS | INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINERALS | 62.50 |
BASIC MATERIALS | AGRICULTURAL CHEMICALS | 56.00 |
BASIC MATERIALS | OIL & GAS REFINING & MARKETING | 51.67 |
BASIC MATERIALS | STEEL & IRON | 37.14 |
BASIC MATERIALS | GOLD | 34.17 |
CONSUMER GOODS | CIGARETTES | 76.25 |
CONSUMER GOODS | AUTO PARTS | 75.83 |
CONSUMER GOODS | BEVERAGES | 69.44 |
CONSUMER GOODS | PROCESSED & PACKAGED GOODS | 66.88 |
CONSUMER GOODS | FOOD - MAJOR DIVERSIFIED | 60.00 |
CONSUMER GOODS | TEXTILES | 57.22 |
CONSUMER GOODS | PERSONAL PRODUCTS | 51.00 |
CONSUMER GOODS | AUTO MANUFACTURERS- MAJOR | 45.83 |
FINANCIALS | REITS | 74.05 |
FINANCIALS | CREDIT SERVICES | 65.63 |
FINANCIALS | PROPERTY & CASUALITY INSURANCE | 62.81 |
FINANCIALS | MONEY CENTER BANKS | 61.11 |
FINANCIALS | FOREIGN MONEY CENTER BANKS | 56.00 |
FINANCIALS | INSURANCE BROKERS | 53.75 |
FINANCIALS | LIFE INSURANCE | 53.33 |
FINANCIALS | REGIONAL BANKS | 49.00 |
FINANCIALS | ASSET MANAGEMENT | 45.00 |
FINANCIALS | SAVINGS & LOANS | 42.50 |
FINANCIALS | INVESTMENT BROKERAGE | 38.75 |
HEALTHCARE | HEALTH CARE PLANS | 70.00 |
HEALTHCARE | DRUG MANUFACTURERS | 67.39 |
HEALTHCARE | MEDICAL APPLIANCES & EQUIPMENT | 63.13 |
HEALTHCARE | MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & SUPPLIES | 53.33 |
HEALTHCARE | BIOTECHNOLOGY | 52.92 |
INDUSTRIAL GOODS | DIVERSIFIED MACHINERY | 70.71 |
INDUSTRIAL GOODS | AEROSPACE/DEFENSE PRODUCTS & SERVICES | 69.50 |
INDUSTRIAL GOODS | INDUSTRIAL EQUIPMENT & COMPONENTS | 63.75 |
INDUSTRIAL GOODS | FARM & CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY | 48.00 |
SERVICES | DRUG STORES | 83.75 |
SERVICES | RAILROADS | 82.00 |
SERVICES | ENTERTAINMENT- DIVERSIFIED | 68.75 |
SERVICES | DRUGS WHOLESALE | 66.67 |
SERVICES | RESTAURANTS | 66.00 |
SERVICES | AIR DELIVERY & FREIGHT SERVICES | 62.50 |
SERVICES | GROCERY STORES | 61.67 |
SERVICES | CATV SYSTEMS | 61.43 |
SERVICES | LODGING | 61.25 |
SERVICES | BUSINESS SERVICES | 58.50 |
SERVICES | APPAREL STORES | 52.86 |
SERVICES | DEPARTMENT STORES | 50.00 |
SERVICES | DISCOUNT, VARIETY STORES | 50.00 |
SERVICES | RESORTS AND CASINOS | 50.00 |
TECHNOLOGY | SEMICONDUCTOR- INTEGRATED CIRCUITS | 76.25 |
TECHNOLOGY | DIVERSIFIED COMMUNICATION SERVICES | 68.33 |
TECHNOLOGY | TELECOM SERVICES - DOMESTIC | 66.67 |
TECHNOLOGY | COMMUNICATION EQUIPMENT | 65.83 |
TECHNOLOGY | SEMICONDUCTOR EQUIPMENT & MATERIALS | 63.00 |
TECHNOLOGY | SEMICONDUCTOR- BROAD LINE | 62.50 |
TECHNOLOGY | BUSINESS SOFTWARE & SERVICES | 61.00 |
TECHNOLOGY | SCIENTIFIC & TECHNICAL INSTRUMENTS | 58.75 |
TECHNOLOGY | SEMICONDUCTOR-SPECIALIZED | 57.50 |
TECHNOLOGY | DIVERSIFIED COMPUTER SYSTEMS | 56.67 |
TECHNOLOGY | INTERNET INFORMATION PROVIDER | 55.83 |
TECHNOLOGY | TECHINICAL & SYSTEM SOFTWARE | 55.83 |
TECHNOLOGY | APPLICATION SOFTWARE | 53.50 |
TECHNOLOGY | INTERNET SOFTWARE & SERVICES | 52.00 |
TECHNOLOGY | WIRELESS COMMUNICATIONS | 49.38 |
TECHNOLOGY | DATA STORAGE DEVICES | 48.75 |
UTILITIES | ELECTRIC UTILITIES | 75.00 |
UTILITIES | FOREIGN UTILITIES | 68.33 |
UTILITIES | DIVERSIFIED UTILITIES | 67.00 |
None.