Exxon Mobil Corp. continues to be one of the leading Dow 30 - Industrials composite companies. It doesn't deserve to be - I've put it on a Strong Hold.

My previously written articles on XOM (just click) provide you the history of my forecasting, its accuracy and support for my performance. For over 50 years my management objective is to identify changing trends for my forecasting analytics. I simple want to have current notes to quickly refer to on the anticipated direction of this company and its industry peers.

My Performance for Exxon Mobil can be found in the below table and is over 18% per year for the last 4 years.

I have completed my weekly study of all my High Profile Energy / Exxon Mobil Companies. I suggest that there is little support for notably higher prices in the making. This study is a pleasure for me to do because I have spent time and experience in the study of income and growth companies like Xom. Each time it offers support for my on going analytics, I smile.

My management objective is to identify changing trends for my forecasting analytics. Simply stated, I want to have current notes to quickly refer to on the anticipated direction of this sector and industry group.

A Special Note for Seniors & Retired Investors - Dividend Yield:2.62%

Forecast w/ 5 Year Performance

Note: The below Table is for your review, questions and perhaps thoughts. If you would like to "Invest Wisely" in my "Income &Growth Asset Allocation Model," please email me to open a dialog on how I go about providing superior performance with a very low threshold of risk.

(click to enlarge)

My Current Forecast for XOM is not as bright as others are suggesting (I will be more specific upon your email request). If you own or are considering owning Exxon Mobil or oil & gas companies, the securities are becoming a mixed (and not particularly positive) bag. Exxon Mobil Corp. While my technical analysis on XOM is satisfactory, I have reservations about my fundamental valuation. It is on my Initial Bearish Forecast - "Warning List."

My Current Opinion is to Hold in anticipation of taking profits. This may be at even higher prices, but there will be an end and time to sell. That is a balancing of my below three (weighted) pillars of research.

Fundamentally - ( weighting - - 40% ): My analytics for my fundamental valuation play a vital role in profitable managing money. Earnings continue to be relatively strong.

Technically - ( weighting - - 35%): Within this company, my indicators remain questionable. It is making new highs but that won't last. Highs are at $102, and it's selling for $96.

Consensus Opinion - ( weighting - - 25% ): My third pillar of research is one that is always distorted to the positive by most all financial analysts. That's because they are afraid of being bearish. I am not! My articles on "reality" are supportive of the below 20 year Chart.

I will personally and promptly reply to any serious investor's inquiry as to my very cautious position for XOM !

For a twenty year perspective of Exxon Mobil Corp see the chart below.  

"Selectivity" is what I preach (along with discipline and patience) and is what separates the average investor and mutual funds from the profits that come with long-hours / hard work and "selectivity."

If you are seeking guidance or direction, please feel free to email me. My personal blog or site is: Investing Wisely.

Smile and have fune "Investing Wisely,"

Dr. Steve