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Independent Analyst
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Pater Tenebrarum is an independent analyst and economist/social theorist. He has been involved with financial markets in various capacities for 31 years and currently writes economic and market analyses for independent research organizations and a European hedge fund consultancy as well as being ...more

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No, Deflation Is Not A ‘Danger’
The headline alone is a hodge-podge of arrant nonsense. First of all, 'deflation' (this is to say, falling prices), is not a 'danger'. Speaking for ourselves and billions of earth's consumers: we love it when prices fall! It means our incomes go further and our savings will buy more as well. What's not to love?
Futile Arm Waving Over Crimea
The latest in a series of futile gestures surrounding the situation in the Crimea is a warrant for the arrest of the Crimea's new prime minister, issued by the central government in Kiev.
Meanwhile, In Venezuela …
Venezuela commemorated the late 'Commandante' Hugo Chavez on Wednesday – as is so often the case, the fact that the dear leader of the revolution is no longer among the quick probably helped with a good bit of nostalgic transmogrification.
Russia And The Crimea
The new government in Kiev quickly disbanded the former riot police Berkut, as well as firing all top Ukrainian military commanders in an attempt to install commanders held to be more likely to obey its orders
Year-To-Date Commodity Winners
The top performing commodity so far this year has been coffee, which erased almost to years of declines within a few weeks in a rally driven by news of a worsening drought in Brazil.
Ukraine Exposure Rattles Russian And Austrian Banks
You can't teach an old dog new tricks. At least that is the impression one gets when considering the credit exposure of the two large Austrian Banks still active in the Ukraine (a third one, Erste Bank, wisely shut up shop in Kiev in late 2012).
Mt. Gox Goes Dark
It is still not quite clear what exactly happened at Mt. Gox in Tokyo, the formerly biggest bitcoin exchange in the world. According to the exchange, the so-called 'transaction malleability' problem allowed hackers to initiate countless bogus transaction, stealing some 744,000 bitcoins.
Russian Troops Put On Alert, Hryvnia’s Plunge Continues
Russia has put some 150,000 troops on alert according to media reports, enlarging 'previously planned' war games near the border with the Ukraine.
Ukraine In Dire Financial Straits
Bank runs, lack of reserves, danger of default – these were the sound bites lately emanating from the post-revolutionary Ukraine.
The Yuan Weakens – Is It Just Another Blip?
We want to point readers to our previous article on the rout in various EM currencies, in which we opined that the dramatic weakening of the Japanese yen was likely an important trigger of these moves.
WhatsApp And The Left
Facebook's $19 billion takeover of WhatsApp (largely financed by issuing more of FB's inflated stock, hence the price tag is in a way actually an illusion) has predictably produced a very wide range of reactions.
A Bullish Consensus To Bet Against
With the rise of debt holdings in the US, the transition into a bear market could become a reality in the near future.
Gold And The HUI, A Technical Update
In late August, we looked at a few short, medium and long term wave count alternatives for the HUI.
The Gold Market Becomes Slightly Less Opaque
According to a recent report by the Neue Zürcher Zeitung (NZZ), the Swiss government has decided to finally publish Switzerland's gold trading data, which have been kept secret for 33 years.
Emerging Markets Crisis – It’s Not Over Yet
We want to briefly take another look at the situation in four of the emerging market countries that have recently been the focus of considerable market upheaval.
Bank Of Japan Fails To Impress
When Mr. Kuroda was appointed governor of the BoJ, there was great excitement in the markets. A committed inflationist!
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