Doug Short | TalkMarkets | Page 26
Vice President of Research at Advisor Perspectives
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My original dshort.com website was launched in February 2005 using a domain name based on my real name, Doug Short. I'm a formerly retired first wave boomer with a Ph.D. in English from Duke and a lifelong interest in economics and finance. In 2011 my website was acquired by more

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December Durable Goods Report: A Massive Disappointment
The January Advance Report on December Durable Goods was released this morning by the Census Bureau. Here is the Bureau's summary on new orders:
Consumer Confidence Strengthens In January
Consumer confidence advanced in January for the second consecutive month. Confidence appears to be back on track and rising expectations suggest the economy may pick up some momentum in the months ahead.
Greg Morris: "Investing With The Trend"
How do we invest to minimize the losses and maximize gains in today's environment?
Best Stock Market Indicator Update
I've continued to receive requests for updates to the "Best Stock Market Indicator" with several arriving in the past 48 hours (presumably triggered by the selloff that ended the week). In response, here is an update of the "John Carlucci" indicator along with a summary of John's explanation on how he uses it.
Real Median Household Income: Off Its 2011 Low, But A Fractional Decline In 2013
The traditional source of household income data is the Census Bureau, which publishes annual household income data in mid-September for the previous year. The 2012 annual updates were published last week.
New Jobless Claims At 326K, In Line With Expectations
The Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report was released this morning for last week.
Charting Down Under: The Australia All Ordinaries Index
Australia's All Ordinaries index compared with the eight world markets in my weekly updates.
Vehicle Miles Driven: A Year-over-Year Decline
The latest report on Traffic Volume Trends, at first glance, appear largely unchanged from last year. But when adjusted for population growth, the Miles-Driven metric takes on a much darker look.
In The Spirit Of Martin Luther King Jr.: Reflections On Income Inequality
The per capita income gap between blacks and whites 1967 was 46%. Forty years later, in 2007, the gap reached its narrowest at 35%. The latest annual data, though 2012, puts the gap slightly wider at 36%.
S&P 500 Snapshot: The Tuesday Bounce
Today's gain was the largest since the 1.66% surge on December 18th. It erased about 85% of yesterday's loss.
S&P 500 Snapshot: Selling The Start Of The Q4 Earnings Season
With Q4 earnings season ready to shift into high gear, the US indexes shifted into retreat. The S&P 500 opened fractionally lower, rose to its 0.06% intraday high an hour later. It then began a sell-off that gradually accelerated. Some buying the dip trimmed the closing loss to 1.26%, the worst daily close since November 7th.
Gasoline Price Update
It's time again for my weekly gasoline update based on data from the Energy Information Administration(EIA). Rounded to the penny, Regular was unchanged and Premium fell a penny. Regular and Premium are down 46 cents and 40 cents, respectively, from their interim highs in late February of last year.
Demographic Trends In The 50-and-Older Work Force
In my earlier update on demographic trends in employment, I included a chart illustrating the growth (or shrinkage) in six age cohorts since the turn of the century. In this commentary we'll zoom in on the age 50 and older Labor Force Participation Rate (LFPR).
World Markets Weekend Update: Europe Is Rising
Over the past week, five of the eight indexes on my world markets watch lists posted gains.
Market Cap To GDP: The Buffett Valuation Indicator
The metric gained popularity in recent years thanks to Warren Buffett's remark in a 2001 Fortune Magazine interview that "it is probably the best single measure of where valuations stand at any given moment."
The Full-Time/Part-Time Employment Ratio Shows Little Improvement
Let's take a close look at today's employment report numbers on Full and Part-Time Employment.
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