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ArmstrongEconomics.com offers a collection of research from Martin Armstrong, a world renown economist and the creator of the Economic Confidence Model, the author of the Greatest Bull Market in History, and founder of Princeton Economics. This web ...more

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Draghi – Negative Interest Rates Pass-on By German Banks
Draghi has convinced himself that he was saving Europe from disaster by moving negative.
Crude Oil – Gasoline Falls Below $3
Crude oil has fallen to the $80 area and a monthly closing below $78 will signal a sharp drop into the $60 zone is likely.
Gold – Still On Track
No. I have not forgotten about gold. Yes we are making new lows in Nearest Futures. Gee – it is declining with oil that the same crowd swore the number on oil production were manipulated to make people think there was a glut.
The Dow Jones Nov 3rd 2014
The Dow Jones Industrials managed to exceed the September high intraday and produce the highest weekly closing, but it did not close ABOVE the September high ruling out a Sling-Shot Move right now.
Dow Jones–A Possible Sling-Shot Move?
Exceeding 17414 today will be awesome and closing above that will be vertigo-land.
Deflation – What Is The Cause? Public Or Private?
There are always different flavors of inflation and deflation.
Dow For 10-30-2014
Resistance stands at the 17195 level and a closing below 17000 today will imply that we have a high in place.
Greek Bonds Get Smashed – Prelude To The Euro Crisis?
Greek bonds were being sold again sharply today. The 10 year bond spreads to Germany are wider by 60 BP on the day!
Dow Jones For 10-29-2014
We have technical resistance at the 17200 area and we need a closing above 17160 to hint at further higher highs.
Swedish Central Bank Lowers Interest Rates To Zero%
The Swedish Riksbank has cut its key interest rate to zero percent. With this quantitative easing monetary policy the central bank is desperately trying to stimulate borrowing to fight deflation.
The Coming Cold Winter For Europe
Even Merkel has hinted that there could be a problem with heat this winter given the problem with Russia. As winter approaches, the former Soviet satellite nations are all watching Russia and Ukraine’s stalled gas negotiations with growing real fear.
Britain Should Pull Out Of EU Before It Is Too Late
The EU Commission is demanding that Britain pays them almost £2 billion pounds because their economy has boomed while that controlled by the Commission has imploded.
World’s Oldest Bank Shares Suspended Twice During Trading Day
Monte dei Paschi shares were suspended twice throughout today. At one stage down 22% currently trading down 18%. Peripheral bond markets behaving themselves only Italian BTP’s were wider by 7bp’s.
The New Real Estate Bubble – Or Something Else Is Going On?
With the Economic Confidence Model peak in 2007.15 (February 26th, 2007), that turning point marked the very day of the high in the Case-Shiller Real Estate Index.
IMF Lowers SDR Interest Rate To 0.05%
The International Monetary Fund has been forced to change the calculation of its most important interest rate after aggressive monetary easing around the world threatened to turn it negative.
ECB Stress Test Totally Bogus
The ECB stress tests revealed under perfect conditions that EU Banks face capital shortfall.
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