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Acting-Man

Independent Analyst
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Pater Tenebrarum is an independent analyst and economist/social theorist. He has been involved with financial markets in various capacities for 31 years and currently writes economic and market analyses for independent research organizations and a European hedge fund consultancy as well as being ...more
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Central Economic Planning Will Get Better, Promise!
Wednesday, October 1, 2014 3:20 AM EDT
Bloomberg, which is a major purveyor not only of useful economic and financial data, but also a major proponent of economic central planning as practiced by modern central banks, informs us that Fed chair Janet Yellen has actually found the holy grail.
In this article: SPX
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Hans Werner Sinn On The ECB – Is The Euro Area Workable?
Tuesday, September 30, 2014 5:55 PM EDT
Sinn points to the many ways in which the ECB has already skirted its statutory limitations, and how this trend continues and is actually getting worse with the most recent monetary policy announcements.
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Greece Tries To “Escape From Bailout”
Monday, September 29, 2014 1:03 PM EDT
Antonis Samaras has a problem: just as the relatively tough austerity medicine Greece was forced to take seems to be beginning to bear some fruit, his shaky coalition government may soon be stumbling over the country’s upcoming presidential election.
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Weidmann’s Unheil: The Euro Zone Crisis Isn’t Over
Friday, September 26, 2014 11:12 AM EDT
Jens Weidmann, president of the German Bundesbank, is well-known for his disdain of the ECB’s unconventional policy measures. He continues to believe that the way forward does not require ever looser monetary policy, but economic reform.
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Is The Stock Market Finally Ready To Fall?
Friday, September 26, 2014 8:28 AM EDT
On Thursday the stock market had a down day that was actually not very remarkable in terms of its extent – it was only remarkable because even such relatively middling down days have become rare these days.
In this article: HYG, SPX
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More On Gold Sentiment
Thursday, September 25, 2014 11:04 AM EDT
As an addendum to Dan Popescu’s article on the state of gold sentiment, we want to show an update of the indicators we follow. Coincidendally, Mark Hulbert has also just published an update on his HGNSI measure (Hulbert Gold Newsletter Sentiment Index).
In this article: GLD, HUI
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Euro Area PMI Data Weak, Stocks Decline Sharply
Wednesday, September 24, 2014 8:40 AM EDT
Markit released its euro area composite Flash PMI and the Flash PMIs for the “core” countries Germany and France on Tuesday.
In this article: SPX
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IPO Fever On Wall Street
Tuesday, September 23, 2014 7:47 AM EDT
Alibaba’s IPO last week – which amounted to $21 billion in value – was the biggest in history. It was also wildly successful, as the stock surged by 38% on its first trading day.
In this article: BABA
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Reform In France: Mission Impossible?
Monday, September 22, 2014 8:02 AM EDT
France’s president Francois Hollande these days finds himself at a similar crossroads as another French socialist president once upon a time: Francois Mitterand.
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ECB TLTRO Fails To Attract Much Interest – QE Threat Lingers
Friday, September 19, 2014 5:19 PM EDT
It seems European banks are not all that eager to take up more central bank credit. The ECB has begun to offer its dirigiste “targeted long term refinancing operations” at a spread of 10 basis points above the repo reference rate.
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The FOMC Decision And Financial Markets
Thursday, September 18, 2014 4:55 AM EDT
If anything, the FOMC statement was probably interpreted by Kremlinologists as less hawkish than expected (although the Fed already leaked that fact via the WSJ’s John Hilsenrath on Tuesday, spurring yet another surge in risk assets).
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Final Remarks Ahead Of Scotland’s Referendum
Tuesday, September 16, 2014 10:42 PM EDT
Political elites around the world are scared of independence movements. Regardless of where in the world it may be, in all cases, visions of calamity are painted in vivid colors if the overarching nation states were to split into two or more parts.
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The March Of Germany’s EU-Skeptics Continues
Monday, September 15, 2014 11:49 AM EDT
We recently pointed out that Germany’s EU-skeptic AfD party has the potential to become a serious political force.
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US Stocks Diverge From European Stocks And High Yield Bonds
Monday, September 15, 2014 7:28 AM EDT
The divergence between US and European stock markets which we discussed in late August continues to persist.
In this article: HYG, SPX
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The War Against ISIS – Mission Gallop
Sunday, September 14, 2014 2:49 PM EDT
We cannot really call it “mission creep” anymore – president Obama’s “limited air strikes” against ISIS have become mission gallop, as within a few weeks, the war aims have continued to broaden so that a temporally limited air campaign has been transformed into a “war that could take years”.
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The Trials And Tribulations Of “Abenomics”
Friday, September 12, 2014 11:42 AM EDT
We have frequently discussed the nonsensical attempt by Japanese prime minister Shinzo Abe and BoJ governor Haruhiko Kuroda to print and spend Japan back to prosperity in these pages.
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