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Pater Tenebrarum is an independent analyst and economist/social theorist. He has been involved with financial markets in various capacities for 31 years and currently writes economic and market analyses for independent research organizations and a European hedge fund consultancy as well as being ...more

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Gold Sentiment Plunges To Summer 2013 Levels
This is a little addendum to our recent gold update. Shortly after we had posted it, Mark Hulbert published an article at Marketwatch regarding the recent moves in the Gold Newsletter Writer Sentiment Index (HGNSI).
Central Bank Induced Market Distortion Goes Bananas
In euro-land, government bond yields have already completely collapsed, partly to almost Japan-like levels – and yet, more capital gains can still be achieved, even with paper sporting negative yields.
Gold Gets Whacked – What Happens Next?
Actually, we are obviously not qualified to answer the question posed in the title of this post. We published an article entitled “Gold & Gold Stocks – Potentially Bullish Developments”, early last week which turned out to be particularly ill-timed.
Is This Finally The End Of Sub-Prime?
There have been never-ending efforts to prevent foreclosures, as if that were a good thing. All it did was to postpone the inevitable. Is it finally time to face the music?
Total Capitulation Of The Bears
One of Wall Street's “Biggest Bears” throws the towel...
Draghi’s War On Savers And The Euro
In his Jackson Hole speech, Mario Draghi already hinted at further ECB interventions, pointing out that 5 year forward inflation breakevens indicated that long term inflation expectations had fallen below 2% (i.e., 2% CPI rate of change).
The Credit Gradient
A gradient describes a change in concentration as you move through a range of coordinates. There is always a credit gradient. Only now, the Federal Reserve has artificially enhanced the gradient to an extreme. The end result is not surprising.
Are US Consumers Evil Hoarders?
A recent Fed paper reports that the Fed's wild money printing orgy has failed to produce much CPI inflation because “consumers are hoarding money”. It is said that this explains why so-called “money velocity” is low.
European Banks – Still Full Of Holes?
The ECB is currently busy stress-testing all “systemically relevant” banks in the euro area, the supervision of which it is going to take over as part of the banking union plan later this year.
Here Come The Money Helicopters
The summer is slipping away. In the morning, mists hang over the fields. The chestnut trees have already turned a rust color. We start a fire in the kitchen fireplace to keep our mother warm.
Gold Stocks And Gold – Potentially Bullish Developments
As we have mentioned in previous updates on the gold sector, few things are more important for its likely future performance than how gold stocks are performing relative to gold
Should We Fear The March Of The Robots?
Pater Tenebrarum argues that as long as the free market is allowed to operate (even in severely hampered form) there will be things to do. But what?
Argentina – Sliding Down A Slippery Slope
Argentina's government has attempted to move its debt out of the reach of US courts by swapping its debt for new debt issued under local law.
Comfortable Myths About High Yield Debt
Here is a small addendum to our recent articles on the corporate debt bubble (“A Dangerous Boom in Unsound Corporate Debt”) and the associated derivatives-berg, which is intended to hedge both the credit and interest rate risk this credit boom has given rise to (“A Perilous Derivatives-Berg”).
The Stock Market’s Rebound – Internals Are Weakening
Keeping in mind that a number of important historical market peaks have been recorded in late August/early September, here is a brief look at how the most recent rally leg stacks up in terms of its internals.
Wall Street’s Back Picking-Up Pebbles In Front Of The Steamroller...
Since the adoption of the pure fiat money system, credit growth has literally gone “parabolic” all over the world.
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