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Acting-Man

Independent Analyst
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Pater Tenebrarum is an independent analyst and economist/social theorist. He has been involved with financial markets in various capacities for 31 years and currently writes economic and market analyses for independent research organizations and a European hedge fund consultancy as well as being ...more
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Is The Stock Market Finally Ready To Fall?
Friday, September 26, 2014 8:28 AM EDT
On Thursday the stock market had a down day that was actually not very remarkable in terms of its extent – it was only remarkable because even such relatively middling down days have become rare these days.
In this article: HYG, SPX
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More On Gold Sentiment
Thursday, September 25, 2014 11:04 AM EDT
As an addendum to Dan Popescu’s article on the state of gold sentiment, we want to show an update of the indicators we follow. Coincidendally, Mark Hulbert has also just published an update on his HGNSI measure (Hulbert Gold Newsletter Sentiment Index).
In this article: GLD, HUI
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Euro Area PMI Data Weak, Stocks Decline Sharply
Wednesday, September 24, 2014 8:40 AM EDT
Markit released its euro area composite Flash PMI and the Flash PMIs for the “core” countries Germany and France on Tuesday.
In this article: SPX
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IPO Fever On Wall Street
Tuesday, September 23, 2014 7:47 AM EDT
Alibaba’s IPO last week – which amounted to $21 billion in value – was the biggest in history. It was also wildly successful, as the stock surged by 38% on its first trading day.
In this article: BABA
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Reform In France: Mission Impossible?
Monday, September 22, 2014 8:02 AM EDT
France’s president Francois Hollande these days finds himself at a similar crossroads as another French socialist president once upon a time: Francois Mitterand.
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ECB TLTRO Fails To Attract Much Interest – QE Threat Lingers
Friday, September 19, 2014 5:19 PM EDT
It seems European banks are not all that eager to take up more central bank credit. The ECB has begun to offer its dirigiste “targeted long term refinancing operations” at a spread of 10 basis points above the repo reference rate.
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The FOMC Decision And Financial Markets
Thursday, September 18, 2014 4:55 AM EDT
If anything, the FOMC statement was probably interpreted by Kremlinologists as less hawkish than expected (although the Fed already leaked that fact via the WSJ’s John Hilsenrath on Tuesday, spurring yet another surge in risk assets).
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Final Remarks Ahead Of Scotland’s Referendum
Tuesday, September 16, 2014 10:42 PM EDT
Political elites around the world are scared of independence movements. Regardless of where in the world it may be, in all cases, visions of calamity are painted in vivid colors if the overarching nation states were to split into two or more parts.
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The March Of Germany’s EU-Skeptics Continues
Monday, September 15, 2014 11:49 AM EDT
We recently pointed out that Germany’s EU-skeptic AfD party has the potential to become a serious political force.
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US Stocks Diverge From European Stocks And High Yield Bonds
Monday, September 15, 2014 7:28 AM EDT
The divergence between US and European stock markets which we discussed in late August continues to persist.
In this article: HYG, SPX
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The War Against ISIS – Mission Gallop
Sunday, September 14, 2014 2:49 PM EDT
We cannot really call it “mission creep” anymore – president Obama’s “limited air strikes” against ISIS have become mission gallop, as within a few weeks, the war aims have continued to broaden so that a temporally limited air campaign has been transformed into a “war that could take years”.
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The Trials And Tribulations Of “Abenomics”
Friday, September 12, 2014 11:42 AM EDT
We have frequently discussed the nonsensical attempt by Japanese prime minister Shinzo Abe and BoJ governor Haruhiko Kuroda to print and spend Japan back to prosperity in these pages.
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Gold Sentiment Plunges To Summer 2013 Levels
Thursday, September 11, 2014 9:15 PM EDT
This is a little addendum to our recent gold update. Shortly after we had posted it, Mark Hulbert published an article at Marketwatch regarding the recent moves in the Gold Newsletter Writer Sentiment Index (HGNSI).
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Central Bank Induced Market Distortion Goes Bananas
Wednesday, September 10, 2014 10:40 AM EDT
In euro-land, government bond yields have already completely collapsed, partly to almost Japan-like levels – and yet, more capital gains can still be achieved, even with paper sporting negative yields.
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Gold Gets Whacked – What Happens Next?
Wednesday, September 10, 2014 8:38 AM EDT
Actually, we are obviously not qualified to answer the question posed in the title of this post. We published an article entitled “Gold & Gold Stocks – Potentially Bullish Developments”, early last week which turned out to be particularly ill-timed.
In this article: HYG, GDXJ, GLD, SLV, TLT, HUI
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Is This Finally The End Of Sub-Prime?
Monday, September 8, 2014 4:52 PM EDT
There have been never-ending efforts to prevent foreclosures, as if that were a good thing. All it did was to postpone the inevitable. Is it finally time to face the music?
In this article: FMCC
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