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Independent Analyst
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Pater Tenebrarum is an independent analyst and economist/social theorist. He has been involved with financial markets in various capacities for 31 years and currently writes economic and market analyses for independent research organizations and a European hedge fund consultancy as well as being ...more

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The Ebola Outbreak: A Black Swan
Up until now, outbreaks were quickly contained by their high mortality. The current epidemic is 20 times larger than the largest previously recorded.
Gold Outperforms Stocks Year-To-Date
Gold has done a lot better relative to stocks this year than one would expect based on the press both have been getting.
Stocks Keep Falling, But …
Routine corrections are difficult to differentiate from kick-offs to something worse. However, the recent action is clearly different from anything we have seen over the past two years.
The Doors Are Being Shut
We previously discussed the debate over the introduction of new rules that would allow money market funds to stop withdrawals.
Markets Weaken Further
Asian stocks stumbled to seven-month lows on Monday, while crude oil prices were pinned near a four-year trough as promising trade numbers out of China failed to cheer a market still worried about faltering global growth.
Market Volatility Surges
Bond yields dropped on Wednesday, thereby not confirming the rally in stocks, but likewise didn’t confirm the stock market decline on Thursday.
Larry Summers Discovers The Free Lunch
Everybody knows the IMF is full of businessmen speculatively appraising the future for its profit-making possibilities, right?
Germany’s Minimum Wage: Job Losses And Exploding Prices
Germany has managed just fine for hundreds of years without a legislated minimum wage.
A Dangerous Market
In his most recent commentary on the stock market, John Hussman makes a few important observations. Very often, bubble-like advances in financial asset prices can become far more extended than rational, sober observers think possible.
From Hero To Zero In One Trading Day
The differing cases of CYNK and GTAT: Obviously, such events mainly tend to happen during a stock market bubble, when the guard of investors and analysts alike is down and gullibility reigns.
Financial Markets, Payrolls And The Interest Rate/Inflation Consensus
Payrolls and unemployment reports should normally be regarded to be among the least useful economic data, as they are lagging indicators of the economy.
Keynesian Ideologue Joseph Stiglitz Opines On “Austerity”
Just because we believe that Mr. Stiglitz is essentially an economic crank doesn’t mean that we disagree with every criticism of the so-called “austerity” policy as pursued by the EU.
Central Economic Planning Will Get Better, Promise!
Bloomberg, which is a major purveyor not only of useful economic and financial data, but also a major proponent of economic central planning as practiced by modern central banks, informs us that Fed chair Janet Yellen has actually found the holy grail.
Hans Werner Sinn On The ECB – Is The Euro Area Workable?
Sinn points to the many ways in which the ECB has already skirted its statutory limitations, and how this trend continues and is actually getting worse with the most recent monetary policy announcements.
Greece Tries To “Escape From Bailout”
Antonis Samaras has a problem: just as the relatively tough austerity medicine Greece was forced to take seems to be beginning to bear some fruit, his shaky coalition government may soon be stumbling over the country’s upcoming presidential election.
Weidmann’s Unheil: The Euro Zone Crisis Isn’t Over
Jens Weidmann, president of the German Bundesbank, is well-known for his disdain of the ECB’s unconventional policy measures. He continues to believe that the way forward does not require ever looser monetary policy, but economic reform.
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