Doug Short | TalkMarkets | Page 3
Vice President of Research at Advisor Perspectives
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My original dshort.com website was launched in February 2005 using a domain name based on my real name, Doug Short. I'm a formerly retired first wave boomer with a Ph.D. in English from Duke and a lifelong interest in economics and finance. In 2011 my website was acquired by more

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Moving Averages: Month-End Preview
Here is a preview of the monthly moving averages I track after the close of the last business day of the month. All three S&P 500 strategies are now signaling "invested" -- unchanged from last month.
S&P 500 Snapshot: A Fed-Triggered "Tempest In A Teapot"
The 500's intraday low was -0.81% ... not my definition of "reeling." The index closed with a fractional loss of 0.14%.
S&P 500 Snapshot: Back In Rally Mode
The S&P 500 rally resumed today after yesterday's fractional loss. The index rose at the open, drifted higher through the day until the final hour, when it surged to its intraday high at the close, up 1.19%.
Durable Goods Report For September: An Unexpected Contraction
New orders for manufactured durable goods in September decreased $3.2 billion or 1.3 percent to $241.6 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today.
S&P 500 Snapshot: A Minor Monday Decline
With little economic news to stir the markets, the three major US indexes closed near the flatline. The Dow and NASDAQ were up slightly (+0.07% and +0.05%, respectively).
Forecasting GDP: A Look At The WSJ Economists' Collective Crystal Ball
One of the big economic numbers this month will be the Q3 Advance Estimate for GDP, due out on Thursday.
S&P 500 Snapshot: Up 4.12% For The Week
The S&P 500 oscillated a bit during its opening hour, hitting its -0.23% intraday low in the first 30 minutes of trading. The index then rose in a couple of waves to its 0.71% closing gain, fractionally off its 0.74% intraday high.
ECRI Recession Watch: Weekly Update
The Weekly Leading Index (WLI) of the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) is at 131.9, down substantially from the previous week's 134.3.
Gasoline Volume Sales, Demographics And Our Changing Culture
The latest numbers, through mid-August, are now available. However, despite the lag, this report offers an interesting perspective on fascinating aspects of the US economy.
S&P 500 Snapshot: Four-Day Rally Ends
The index hit its 0.41% intraday high about two hours after the open. It then began drifting lower with some accelerated selling the final hour.
The Big Four Economic Indicators: Disappointing Real Retail Sales
With this morning’s release of the September Consumer Price Index, we can now calculate Real Retail Sales. I reported the nominal Advance Retail Sales last week, which showed September at -0.3% (-0.32% at two decimals) month-over-month, down from 0.6% in August.
Anticipating The 2015 Cost Of Living Adjustment For Social Security
Tomorrow the Social Security Administration will announce the 2015 COLA. A forecast based on data so far is 1.7%.
Weekly Gasoline Price Update: Down Another Nine Cents
It's time again for my weekly gasoline update based on data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA).
S&P 500 Snapshot: IBM Plunges, But Day Three Of The Broader Rally
The index hit its -0.24% intraday low shortly after the open but quickly recovered and chugged higher through the day, closing with its third consecutive advance, up 0.91% and not far off its 0.97% intraday high.
Vehicle Miles Traveled: A Structural Change In Our Behavior
Travel on all roads and streets changed by 0.4% (1.0 billion vehicle miles) for August 2014 as compared with August 2013.
ECRI Recession Watch: Weekly Update
The Weekly Leading Index (WLI) of the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) is at 134.4, up slightly from the previous week's 134.1. The WLI annualized growth indicator (WLIg) is at 1.0, down from 1.5 the previous week.
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