Doug Short | TalkMarkets | Page 5
Vice President of Research at Advisor Perspectives
Contributor's Links: Advisor Perspectives
My original dshort.com website was launched in February 2005 using a domain name based on my real name, Doug Short. I'm a formerly retired first wave boomer with a Ph.D. in English from Duke and a lifelong interest in economics and finance. In 2011 my website was acquired by more

All Contributions

Latest Posts
65 to 80 of 445 Posts
<<< 1 ... 3 4 5 6 7 ... 28 >>>
The S&P 500 And Recessions
What is the relationship between the market and recessions? Is there are causal relationship between the two? Does a recession lead to a decline in the market, or does a market decline foreshadow a recession?
S&P 500 Snapshot: The Tuesday Selloff, "Global Growth Disappoints"
Today's selloff comes the day before Alcoa kicks off the Q3 earnings season.
Ongoing Proof Of A Structural Change In The U.S. Workforce
The closely watched headline unemployment rate is a calculation of the percentage of the Civilian Labor Force, age 16 and older, currently unemployed. The indicator slightly improved in September, dropping from 6.1% to 5.9%
Weekly Gasoline Price Update: Regular Drops Six Cents
It's time again for my weekly gasoline update based on data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA). Rounded to the penny, Regular is six cents cheaper than this time last week and Premium is down four cents.
A September Surge In New Jobs With Unemployment Dropping To 5.9%
Today's report of 248K new nonfarm jobs was substantially better than the Investing.com forecast of 215K, and it was accompanied by a major upward revision of the August data from 142K to 180K new jobs.
Market Valuation Overview
To facilitate comparisons, I've adjusted the two P/E ratios and Q Ratio to their arithmetic means and the inflation-adjusted S&P Composite to its exponential regression.
Market Valuation, Inflation And Treasury Yields: Clues From The Past
My monthly market valuation updates have long had the same conclusion: US stock indexes are significantly overvalued, which suggests cautious expectations on investment returns.
Is The Stock Market Cheap?
Here is a new update of a popular market valuation method using the most recent Standard & Poor's "as reported" earnings and earnings estimates and the index monthly averages of daily closes for the past month, which is 1993.23.
Consumer Confidence Drops
The Latest Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index was released this morning based on data collected through September 18. The headline number of 86.0 was a surprising decline over the revised August final reading of 93.4, an upward revision from 92.4.
Moving Averages: Month-End Preview
Here is a preview of the monthly moving averages I track after the close of the last business day of the month. All three S&P 500 strategies are now signaling "invested" -- unchanged from last month.
The Big Four Economic Indicators: Real Personal Income Less Transfer Payments
Official recession calls are the responsibility of the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee, which is understandably vague about the specific indicators on which they base their decisions.
PCE Price Index: Headline And Core Little Changed, Remain Below Target
The latest Headline PCE price index year-over-year (YoY) rate of 1.46%, down from the previous month's 1.58%. The Core PCE index of 1.47% is fractionally lower the previous month's 1.49% YoY.
S&P 500 Snapshot: Friday Rally Trims The Week's Loss To -1.37%
Q2 GDP was adjusted upward in today's 3rd Estimate and the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index remains at a 14-month high. The S&P 500 opened fractionally higher and traded in a narrow range through the lunch hour.
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Remains At A 14-Month High
The final University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment for September came in at 84.6, unchanged from the September Preliminary reading but up from the 82.5 August final.
S&P 500 Snapshot: Fifth Worst Day Of 2014
Yesterday's gain snapped a three-day selloff in the S&P 500, but the selling resumed today. The index opened in the red at its intraday high, down 0.5%, and sold off sharply in the morning and more slowly in the afternoon.
Happiness Revisited: A Household Income Of $75K?
As Deaton explained, "Giving people more income beyond $75K is not going to do much for their daily mood ... but it is going to make them feel they have a better life."
65 to 80 of 445 Posts
<<< 1 ... 3 4 5 6 7 ... 28 >>>