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Acting-Man

Independent Analyst
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Pater Tenebrarum is an independent analyst and economist/social theorist. He has been involved with financial markets in various capacities for 31 years and currently writes economic and market analyses for independent research organizations and a European hedge fund consultancy as well as being ...more
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Ukraine/Crimea – The Map That Explains Everything
Tuesday, March 11, 2014 11:18 AM EDT
We want to briefly comment on the suggestions that the Ukraine – this is to say the government of the Ukraine – allegedly needs to “borrow at least $35 billion”. This has been reported in terms such as these:
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The Commodities Rally In Perspective
Tuesday, March 11, 2014 10:16 AM EDT
Recently, the CCI (continuous commodities index/ equal-weighted CRB) has broken above a downtrend line, and delivered a brisk advance:
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An Overview Of Recent Monetary Trends
Monday, March 10, 2014 8:46 AM EDT
Last week we discussed the fact that China's money supply growth has slowed precipitously and also looked briefly at some long term euro area data
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China: Bubble Trouble May Be Brewing
Friday, March 7, 2014 11:42 AM EDT
Both the growth rate of China's narrow M1 money supply and the broader M2 measure have recently declined to levels not seen in many years. Here is a recent chart showing both:
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No, Deflation Is Not A ‘Danger’
Friday, March 7, 2014 7:52 AM EDT
The headline alone is a hodge-podge of arrant nonsense. First of all, 'deflation' (this is to say, falling prices), is not a 'danger'. Speaking for ourselves and billions of earth's consumers: we love it when prices fall! It means our incomes go further and our savings will buy more as well. What's not to love?
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Futile Arm Waving Over Crimea
Thursday, March 6, 2014 1:31 PM EDT
The latest in a series of futile gestures surrounding the situation in the Crimea is a warrant for the arrest of the Crimea's new prime minister, issued by the central government in Kiev.
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Meanwhile, In Venezuela …
Thursday, March 6, 2014 9:52 AM EDT
Venezuela commemorated the late 'Commandante' Hugo Chavez on Wednesday – as is so often the case, the fact that the dear leader of the revolution is no longer among the quick probably helped with a good bit of nostalgic transmogrification.
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Russia And The Crimea
Tuesday, March 4, 2014 3:45 PM EDT
The new government in Kiev quickly disbanded the former riot police Berkut, as well as firing all top Ukrainian military commanders in an attempt to install commanders held to be more likely to obey its orders
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Year-To-Date Commodity Winners
Monday, March 3, 2014 6:07 AM EDT
The top performing commodity so far this year has been coffee, which erased almost to years of declines within a few weeks in a rally driven by news of a worsening drought in Brazil.
In this article: GLD
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Ukraine Exposure Rattles Russian And Austrian Banks
Friday, February 28, 2014 7:30 AM EDT
You can't teach an old dog new tricks. At least that is the impression one gets when considering the credit exposure of the two large Austrian Banks still active in the Ukraine (a third one, Erste Bank, wisely shut up shop in Kiev in late 2012).
In this article: RAW.F, AKSJF, EBKOF, VTBR.RUB
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Mt. Gox Goes Dark
Thursday, February 27, 2014 8:54 AM EDT
It is still not quite clear what exactly happened at Mt. Gox in Tokyo, the formerly biggest bitcoin exchange in the world. According to the exchange, the so-called 'transaction malleability' problem allowed hackers to initiate countless bogus transaction, stealing some 744,000 bitcoins.
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Russian Troops Put On Alert, Hryvnia’s Plunge Continues
Thursday, February 27, 2014 7:23 AM EDT
Russia has put some 150,000 troops on alert according to media reports, enlarging 'previously planned' war games near the border with the Ukraine.
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Ukraine In Dire Financial Straits
Wednesday, February 26, 2014 8:33 AM EDT
Bank runs, lack of reserves, danger of default – these were the sound bites lately emanating from the post-revolutionary Ukraine.
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The Yuan Weakens – Is It Just Another Blip?
Wednesday, February 26, 2014 7:23 AM EDT
We want to point readers to our previous article on the rout in various EM currencies, in which we opined that the dramatic weakening of the Japanese yen was likely an important trigger of these moves.
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WhatsApp And The Left
Wednesday, February 26, 2014 5:29 AM EDT
Facebook's $19 billion takeover of WhatsApp (largely financed by issuing more of FB's inflated stock, hence the price tag is in a way actually an illusion) has predictably produced a very wide range of reactions.
In this article: YHOO, GCTY, FB
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A Bullish Consensus To Bet Against
Tuesday, February 25, 2014 12:23 PM EDT
With the rise of debt holdings in the US, the transition into a bear market could become a reality in the near future.
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