Blair Jensen | TalkMarkets | Page 2
President of Downside Hedge
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Blair Jensen is President of Downside Hedge which provides market commentary and hedging strategies for individual investors. His development of a stock market sentiment indicator based on the Twitter stream is changing the way investors and traders view ...more

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Some Indicators Work At Tops – Others At Bottoms
I had the honor of being on a panel with JC Parets, Chris Kimble, Ryan Detrick, and Charlie Bilello at Stocktoberfest this year. They are a great group of guys with a wealth of information that should be in everyone’s daily must read list.
Market Risk Update
Our market risk indicator warned on 10/10/14 and since that time the market has dropped and recovered in an extremely sharp V formation. If the market doesn’t fall sharply between now and Friday I expect the warning to be cleared which will cause a whipsaw hedge signal
Indexes Trying To Clear Warnings
The S&P 500 (SPX) is still confirming the downtrend and today’s intra-day readings are more tepid than QQQ.
Stocktoberfest
Google Chart from last year. It has now been resolved.
Back To Prior Support
The market is now just below the 1900 level and getting ready to retest the 1905 support level as resistance. This is the first hurdle for the bulls.
What Next?
If the market continues to rally I suspect that the risk indicator will clear its warning within a week or so.
Twitter Top Ten Portfolio Falls Hard
The Twitter Top 10 portfolio is falling hard this month. It is down over 6%.
StockTwits Top Ten Has Broad Based Selling
This month the stocks are down between 3% and 17%.
Watch Investor Action
Traders aren’t aggressively buying the S&P 500 Index (SPY) and investors are still negative on the index.
Short Covering Rally
In late September I showed a chart that I use for general clues about the market. It compares a short of the S&P 500 Index (SH), an actively managed short fund (HDGE), and mid-term volatility (VXZ).
Dow Theory Still Confirming Bullish Trend
After seeing our core portfolios taking the most cautious stance they can last Friday I’m guessing you’re surprised that I’m writing a post telling you that according to Dow Theory the long term bullish trend is still intact.
IPOs Take Patience
I’m a fairly conservative investor/trader so I don’t often buy IPOs until the stock has traded for several months and had a chance to shake out.
Watch The Bounce Redux
If the market continues to fall and 7 day momentum paints a lower low it will confirm the down trend and suggest that a larger correction is underway where rallies will likely fail.
Moving To Cash Or Full Hedge
The volatility in the market over the past week was accompanied by a deterioration in all of our core market health indicators. Every category is now negative.
Breadth Checkup
The market rallied after SPXEW’s initial failure, but during that rally SPXEW only made it back to the underside of its 20 week moving average then turned back over again taking the market with it.
Weak Vs. Strong
Over the past month I’ve been mentioning that finance, health care, and now technology stocks are holding up best during declines.
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