Blair Jensen | TalkMarkets | Page 3
President of Downside Hedge
Contributor's Links: Downside Hedge
Blair Jensen is President of Downside Hedge which provides market commentary and hedging strategies for individual investors. His development of a stock market sentiment indicator based on the Twitter stream is changing the way investors and traders view ...more

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Watch Financials, Technology, And Health Care
During the dip over the past two or three weeks financial, technology, and health care stocks have kept the strongest support on Twitter.
Market Health Barely Hanging On
During the week several of our core health indicators dipped into negative territory, but the rebound on Thursday and Friday repaired enough internal damage to keep our portfolio allocations the same as last week.
Twitter Top 10 Holds Up
The Twitter Top 10 portfolio held up reasonably well this month. It was only down a bit over 1% while the S&P 500 Index is down about 2%.
StockTwits Top 10 Falls Slightly
The StockTwits Top 10 portfolio fell slightly over the past month and is tracking pretty much in line with the S&P 500 index (SPX) for the year.
Social Media Indicators Confirming Lower Prices
Both the StockTwits and Twitter momentum indicators for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) are confirming lower prices, but are getting to levels that have led to a bounce over the past two years.
Due For A Bounce
Our core measures of risk are very close to going negative.
Odds Favor Lower Prices
Social media momentum indicators for the S&P 500 Index SPX continue to suggest lower prices are ahead. Last week we noted that traders on Twitter were chasing price and that it should cause some instability.
Chart Gallery
Charts posted to Twitter and StockTwits this week…in no particular order.
Raising Cash – Adding Hedge
The Long / Cash portfolios will now be 60% long and 40% cash. The hedged portfolio will be 80% long stocks we believe will out perform the market in an uptrend (high beta stocks) and 20% short the S&P 500 Index SH.
Twitter Top 10 Down Slightly
The Twitter Top 10 portfolio is slightly down this month and is performing similar to the S&P 500 Index. The only real leader this month is Bank of America up over 5%.
StockTwits Top 10 Continues To Track Market
The StockTwits Top 10 portfolio continues to track the S&P 500 Index. It is slightly under performing this month mainly due to Advanced Micro Devices AMD down 12.5% and First Solar FSLR down 5.5%. Lululemon Athletica is the only stock that is significantly out performing SPX, up nearly 8%.
Another Heads Up
Our measures of trend have been bouncing back and forth across the zero line this week and are currently negative. If they are still negative on Friday we’ll be raising more cash and/or adding a larger hedge before the week ends. Here are some of the things I’m watching at the moment.
Identifying A Bottom
Are you looking for a stock that’s had a good sized correction that may be ready to rally again? Here’s how you use Trade Followers to identify them.
Better Action From Momentum Stocks
Last Monday the momentum stocks took a big hit on a mild down day in the market. Yesterday the market sold off harder, but momentum names didn’t get hit as hard as last week.
Chasing And Uncertainty
The Trade Followers momentum indicators for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) are showing uncertainty from market participants. The pattern currently being painted by 7 day momentum is usually indicative of traders chasing price.
Trade Followers Momentum Shows Chasing
Social media indicators are showing mostly positive signs with some indecision and chasing by traders on Twitter.
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