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Global Economic Intersection

The Economic Effects on Finance, Investing, Social Interactions, and Politics
Contributor's Links: Global Economic Intersection
Founded by John Lounsbury and Steven Hansen, Global Economic Intersection (Econintersect) focuses on the economic effects on ...more
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Spike For Silver Prices Ahead? This Options Activity Suggests So
Tuesday, May 13, 2014 6:28 AM EDT
After rising as much as 16% earlier this year, silver prices are now nearly unchanged year to date. They're up just 0.2%, while gold has gained 7.2%. The silver price isn't the only number that's lagging...
In this article: SLV
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Three Software Company Founders To Pay $5.8 Million To Settle Charges Of Insider Trading Ahead Of Sale
Monday, May 12, 2014 1:48 PM EDT
The Securities and Exchange Commission today filed insider trading charges against three software company founders for taking unfair advantage of incorrect media speculation and analyst reports about the company’s acquisition. They agreed to pay nearly $5.8 million to settle the SEC’s charges.
In this article: LWSN.ST
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Treasury Term Premia: 1961-Present
Monday, May 12, 2014 12:22 PM EDT
Treasury yields can be decomposed into two components: expectations of the future path of short-term Treasury yields and the Treasury term premium.
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Are Valuations Really Too High?
Monday, May 12, 2014 10:16 AM EDT
First, let’s examine three ways to look at stock market valuations for the S&P 500. The first is the Shiller P/E ratio, which is a ten-year smoothed curve that in theory takes away some of the volatility caused by recessions.
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The “Amazon Tax”: Empirical Evidence From Amazon And Main Street Retailers
Monday, May 12, 2014 8:04 AM EDT
Several US states have recently implemented laws requiring the collection of sales tax on online purchases. In practice, however, only Amazon.com has been affected. This column shows that households living in these states have reduced their Amazon expenditures by 9.5%.
In this article: AMZN
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Twitter Suffers Sell-Off As Lock-Up Expires
Monday, May 12, 2014 6:38 AM EDT
When a company goes public, early investors and company insiders are usually forbidden to sell their shares for a predetermined amount of time.
In this article: TWTR
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People Still Prefer Holding Dusty Old Books
Friday, May 9, 2014 6:39 PM EDT
E-books aren't going to replace printed books anytime soon! That's according to Harris Interactive who carried out a poll among Internet users in the United States...
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02 May 2014: ECRI's WLI Growth Improvement Cycle Continues
Friday, May 9, 2014 11:22 AM EDT
ECRI's WLI Growth Index continued its improvement cycle, remaining in positive territory. A positive number predicts positive growth to come within the next six months.
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International Economic Update: Low Inflation And Slower Medium-Term Growth Accompany Uneven Recovery
Friday, May 9, 2014 10:02 AM EDT
World (excluding the U.S.) economic growth stood at 3 percent year over year in fourth quarter 2013, with the gap between advanced (excluding the U.S.) and emerging economies narrowing to 1.6 percentage points—the smallest growth differential since fourth quarter 2002.
In this article: 8301.JQ, RMB
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Crisis Chronicles: Central Bank Crisis Management During Wall Street's First Crash (1792)
Friday, May 9, 2014 8:54 AM EDT
As we observed in our last post on the Continental Currency Crisis, the finances of the United States remained chaotic through the 1780s as the young government moved to establish its credit.
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Mexico Economy Improves In 2014
Friday, May 9, 2014 5:48 AM EDT
Mexico’s economy expanded in the first quarter as the monthly proxy for gross domestic product (GDP) increased in January and February after stalling in the fourth quarter of last year.
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Adding Double Inertia To Taylor Rules To Improve Accuracy
Friday, May 9, 2014 4:37 AM EDT
A Taylor rule captures the historical behavior of the federal funds rate better when it also includes a partial-adjustment factor. Typically, the type of partial adjustment added is consistent with the FOMC avoiding large jumps in the level of the funds rate.
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Market Commentary: Markets Climb Out Of Negative Opening To Solid Green
Thursday, May 8, 2014 11:52 AM EDT
Premarkets were down almost -0.20% from yesterday's close, oils were down and the US dollar was up. The markets opened flat and in the red and slowly melted upwards on low volume. By the 15 minute mark the averages had topped out at almost +0.30% and continued to climb after a short pause.
In this article: GLD, SPY, BKX
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What The Fed Is Really Doing To Your Money
Thursday, May 8, 2014 9:05 AM EDT
QE is a tax. That's an odd thing to say about the Fed's bond-buying stimulus program, known as quantitative easing, or QE. But the reality of QE is different than what most people think...
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Monthly Budget Review For April 2014
Thursday, May 8, 2014 7:39 AM EDT
The federal government ran a budget deficit of $301 billion for the first seven months of fiscal year 2014, CBO estimates—$187 billion less than the shortfall recorded in the same span last year. Revenues were about 8 percent higher and outlays about 3 percent lower.
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Hedge Fund Advisory Firm Distributing Falsified Performance Results
Thursday, May 8, 2014 5:07 AM EDT
The Securities and Exchange Commission today announced fraud charges and an asset freeze against a New York-based investment advisory firm and two executives for distributing falsified performance results to prospective investors in two hedge funds they managed.
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