Steven Hansen | TalkMarkets | Page 24
Managing Partner at Econintersect LLC
Contributor's Links: Global Economic Intsersection
Steven Hansen, Publisher and Co-founder of Econintersect, is an international business and industrial consultant specializing in turning around troubled business units; consults to governments to optimize process flows; and provides economic indicator analysis based on unadjusted data and process ...more

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December 2013 Conference Board Employment Index Strengthens
The Conference Board believes future employment growth will likely be solid in the coming months – while Econintersect‘s own employment index is saying that economic pressures will continue to be weak but the trend will reverse in the next few months.
Retail Sales OK In December 2013
Retail sales were up according to US Census. Our analysis agreed, and it is positive that the 3 month rolling average did marginally improve.
Mixed Data For Wholesale Sales In November 2013
November 2013 wholesale sales and inventories data was mixed. This data series is very noisy, and has been on a roller coaster of one good month / one bad month – except the unadjusted data has had two bad months now in a row.
SEC Charges Alcoa With FCPA Violations
The Securities and Exchange Commission today charged global aluminum producer Alcoa Inc. with violating the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (FCPA) when its subsidiaries repeatedly paid bribes to government officials in Bahrain to maintain a key source of business.
Market Commentary: Markets Open Higher At +0.30%, Blue Chips Lagging Behind
Premarkets were up nicely at +0.30% amidst of mixed news where the US Initial Jobless Claims reported in at 330K versus the 335K expected and 345K prior.
Market Commentary: Averages Melt Downward Marking New Lows For This Session
Except from a brief pause this morning, the averages have continued to melt downward and are all in the red. The volume at noon-time is dipping into the anemic levels and the $VIX remains in the low 13's.
December 2013 FOMC Meeting Minutes: How Much To Taper?
The 18 December 2013 meeting statement presented the actions taken. This post covers the economic discussion during this FOMC meeting between the members. The Fed's Balance Sheet (which we report on weekly) continues to grow at record levels.
December 2013 ADP: Jobs Are 238,000 Stronger
ADP reported December 2013 non-farm private jobs growth at 238,000 – very strong growth.
CoreLogic Home Prices Up 11.8% Year-over-Year, Rate Of Growth Slows
CoreLogic's HPI shows that home prices are up 11.8% year-over-year (reported up 0.1% month-over-month). The year-over-year growth rate was down from the 12.5% reported last month.
November 2013: Manufacturing Had A Good Month
US Census says manufacturing new orders grew in November. Our analysis agrees showing acceleration of the rolling averages.
Leading Index Review: November 2013 Philly Fed Leading Index Continues To Show Growth
A positive index number projects positive economic growth for the next 6 months. The November 2013 forecast (released today) growth is 1.5% over the next 6 months. A positive number indicates growth. A review of all major leading indicators follows.
28 December 2013 Unemployment Claims 4 Week Average Again Worsen
The market was expecting the weekly initial unemployment claims at 333.000 to 340,000 vs the 339,000 reported. The more important (because of the volatility in the weekly reported claims and seasonality errors in adjusting the data) 4 week moving average degraded, moving from 348,000 (reported last week) to 357,250.
Economic Forecast January 2014: Slight Growth Deceleration
Our January 2013 Economic Forecast continues to show a growing economy – but growing at a slower rate than last month. Most portions of our economic model are expanding.
Pending Home Sales Index Suggests Slower December Existing Home Sales
The pending home sales index for November was released by the National Association of Realtors (NAR) today, and our analysis suggests that December existing home sales may be worse than November’s.
2013 Was Good To Joe Sixpack (Relatively) - The Impact Of 2013
One of my favorite responses to those who ask me how things are going is “that I am still alive”. This is the way I feel about the economic events of 2013 as they relate to the average survivor of this year. It is hard to argue that the average consumer is worse off today than they were at the beginning of the year.
Unemployment Claims 4 Week Average Again Worsens
The market was expecting the weekly initial unemployment claims at 350,000 vs the 338,000 reported. The more important (because of the volatility in the weekly reported claims and seasonality errors in adjusting the data) 4 week moving average degraded.
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