James Picerno | TalkMarkets | Page 6

James Picerno

Editor at The ETF Asset Class Performance Review
Contributor's Links: The Capital Spectator
James Picerno is a veteran financial journalist and has been writing about portfolio strategies, investment products, and macroeconomics since the early 1990s at Bloomberg, Dow Jones and other media groups before becoming an independent writer/analyst/consultant in 2008. He’s currently ...more
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The Finer Points Of Hedging… Or Not
Tuesday, September 23, 2014 8:41 AM EDT
Barry Ritholtz asks the right question—Why hedge?–in the wake of last week’s announcement that California Public Employees’ Retirement System, the elephant in the room in the world of pension funds, is ending its decade-long experiment with hedge funds.
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Chicago Fed: US Macro Trend Slows In August
Tuesday, September 23, 2014 4:26 AM EDT
US economic activity decelerated more than expected in August, according to this morning’s update of the Chicago Fed National Activity Index.
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Q3:2014 US GDP Nowcast: +2.2%
Monday, September 22, 2014 10:09 AM EDT
US economic growth will decelerate in the third quarter, according to The Capital Spectator’s median econometric nowcast.
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Chicago Fed Nat’l Activity Index: August 2014 Preview
Friday, September 19, 2014 10:24 AM EDT
The three-month average of the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) is expected to rise slightly to +0.29 in Monday’s update for August, according to The Capital Spectator’s median econometric point forecast.
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US Economic Profile
Friday, September 19, 2014 6:51 AM EDT
The latest economic releases look wobbly in some corners–yesterday’s report on housing starts, for example.
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US Housing Starts: August 2014 Preview
Wednesday, September 17, 2014 11:23 AM EDT
Housing starts are expected to decrease to 1.050 million in tomorrow’s update for August, based on The Capital Spectator’s median econometric point forecast (seasonally adjusted annual rate). The projection represents a marginal decline from 1.093 million starts in July.
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Asset Allocation & Rebalancing Review
Wednesday, September 17, 2014 8:19 AM EDT
Volatility is starting to creep back into the markets. It’s not obvious from the 30,000-foot view, but a few corners of the global markets are becoming jittery.
In this article: BND, VTI
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The Bumpy Road Ahead To Policy Normalization
Tuesday, September 16, 2014 8:47 AM EDT
Base money in real terms increased 18.7% in July from a year ago, the slowest growth rate since May 2013. Since peaking last November at 37.2%, the inflation-adjusted year-over-year growth for the St. Louis Fed’s estimate of base money has been steadily falling.
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Analyzing Performance Histories That Might Have Been
Monday, September 15, 2014 8:40 AM EDT
The trend in recent years of securitizing more of the world’s market betas offers investors, in theory, better odds for enhancing risk-adjusted returns.
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US Industrial Production: August 2014 Preview
Sunday, September 14, 2014 11:46 PM EDT
US industrial production in August is projected to increase 0.3% vs. the previous month in tomorrow’s report from the Federal Reserve, according to The Capital Spectator’s median econometric point forecast.
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Book Bits: Martin Wolf, James K. Galbraith, Guy Spier, Thomas E. Hall
Sunday, September 14, 2014 5:31 PM EDT
Quick reviews of ''The Shifts and the Shocks' by Martin Wolf, 'The End of Normal' by James Galbraith, 'The Education of a Value Investor' by Guy Spier, and 'Aftermath: The Unintended Consequences of Public Policies' by Thomas Hall.
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A Strong Rebound For August Retail Sales
Friday, September 12, 2014 10:55 AM EDT
Spending on retail goods and services increased 0.6% in August, matching several consensus forecasts and strengthening the case for thinking that the US economy remains on a path for moderate growth.
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US Retail Sales: August 2014 Preview
Thursday, September 11, 2014 6:48 AM EDT
US retail sales are expected to rise 0.3% in tomorrow’s August report vs. the previous month, according to The Capital Spectator’s median econometric forecast. The prediction reflects an improvement over the flat performance for retail sales in July.
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Analyzing Volatility For Timely Signals About Market Risk
Wednesday, September 10, 2014 9:18 AM EDT
It’s hard to overestimate the power of volatility for monitoring, modeling and forecasting risk in the art/science of portfolio management. The challenge is deciding what to focus on.
In this article: SPX, VIX
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Macro-Markets Risk Index Remains Close To 2014 High
Tuesday, September 9, 2014 6:28 AM EDT
The economic trend for the US remained positive in early September, sticking to readings that are near the highest levels reached so far this year, according to a markets-based estimate of macro conditions.
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Economics Isn’t Physics: Scottish Edition
Monday, September 8, 2014 5:33 PM EDT
Scotland is considering independence from the United Kingdom, but what’s interesting, and perhaps tragic, about the growing preference for breaking free of Britain is the apparent dismissal of the economic consequences that may arise from independence.
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